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Fonbet Russian Cup. Path of the regions. First round
Fonbet Russian Cup. Path of the regions. First round
1-y raund 28.07.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 12:00 UTC 1-y raund
Finished

Fonbet Russian Cup. Path of the regions. First round

Anzhi - Neftyanik Izberbash

Football
Stadium Trud (Makhachkala, Russia), vmestimost: 5600
Referee Maksim Bogdanavichus (Moskva, Russia)
A
Anzhi
1 : 5
Finished
N
Neftyanik Izberbash
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Neftyanik Izberbash — 67%

Pure model vs market (2 · Neftyanik Izberbash): model 34% · market 72% Δ −38 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Anzhi14.7%
market12%
X · draw18.7%
market15%
2 · Neftyanik Izberbash ✓ Pick66.6%
market72%

Model estimate: win Anzhi 14.7%, draw 18.7%, win Neftyanik Izberbash 66.6%. Model favourite — Neftyanik Izberbash.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Neftyanik Izberbash (odds1.27) Score 0:2 confidence 64% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Izberbash: probability 64% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.27)
  • • no edge over the line (-14 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 0:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Anzhi - Neftyanik Izberbash July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Neftyanik Izberbash.

Line favourite market consensus: Neftyanik Izberbash. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.50 / X 6.70 / 2 1.43
  • Glicko: Anzhi 14.7% / X 18.7% / Neftyanik Izberbash 66.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin -3.4%
1 12.2%
X 15.4%
2 ✓ Pick 72.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Anzhi 3 : 1 Neftyanik Izberbash
16.09
X5.15
21.35

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:3/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated28.07.2026 10:05 UTC
1 7%
X 15%
2 78% ✓ favourite
Score1:3 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Win Neftyanik Izberbash with handicap (-1.5)
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated28.07.2026 10:18 UTC
1 15%
X 18%
2 67% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Over 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 2-0
Qwen updated28.07.2026 10:14 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
X 15%
2 7%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0

AI consensus:2

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 7% 15% 78% 1:3 Over 2.5 Yes Win Neftyanik Izberbash with handicap (-1.5)
Claude 15% 18% 67% 1:2 Over 2.5 Yes Over 2.5
Qwen 78% 15% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 No Win DAC Dunayska Streda

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Participant opinions
421 predictions Choose an outcome
1 66% 81
X 6% 8
2 27% 33
match_qualify match_qualify:w1 3.56 (3) - match_qualify:w2 1.23 (1)
Double chance 1X 2.85 (7) - X2 1.11 (1)
handicap1 handicap1:1_5 1.88 (36) - handicap1:2_5 1.42 (24) - handicap2:-1_5 1.77 (16)
Total TM 4.5 1.62 (60) - TM 3.5 2.27 (27) - TB 4.5 2.17 (21)
Match center
Stadium Trud (Makhachkala, Russia), vmestimost: 5600
Referee Maksim Bogdanavichus (Moskva, Russia)
Start 28.07.2026 12:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Anzhi 66%
🤖 7 AI models Neftyanik Izberbash 51%
📐 Math model Neftyanik Izberbash 67%
⚡ Humans and machines disagree
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Anzhi - Neftyanik Izberbash

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Anzhi - Neftyanik I, 28 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Fonbet Cup Russia 2026/2027, 1 round. Anzhi - Neftyanik I, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions LiveResult 106 - Stavka.tv 16 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Tournament Lineup / squad Referees Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:5
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Anzhi 12.9% 14.7%
Draw 18.4% 18.7% draw risk
Neftyanik Izberbash 68.7% 66.6% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 14.7% / 18.7% / 66.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,507 Anzhi / Neftyanik Izberbash
RD 350 / 227 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,053-1,961 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.34 market consensus · no value · model 66.6%
X 5.60 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 7.53 market consensus · no value · model 14.7%
Double chance
12 1.10 market consensus · no value · model 81.3%
1X 3.25 market consensus · no value · model 33.4%
X2 1.04 market consensus · no value · model 85.3%
Both teams to score
No 2.77 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.45 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.77 36.1%
yes 1.45 69.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.13 88.5% 1.07 93.5%
1x 2.80 35.7% 3.70 27.0%
x2 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.90 17.0%
X 3.00 33.3%
1.78 56.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.13 88.5%
Over 1.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 2 2.20 45.5%
Under 0.5 6.20 16.1%
Under 1.5 1.99 50.3%
Under 2 1.68 59.5%
Match center
Lineup summary
  • 1 vr Daniyal Gamzatov
  • 30 zsch Daniyal Rasulov
  • 33 zsch Aliaskhab Dubukhov
  • 4 zsch Marat Idrisov
  • 20 zsch Akav Akavov
  • 15 zsch Rustam Isaev
  • 13 pz Dzhambulat Abdulkadyrov
  • 50 pz Sharapudin Shalbuzov
  • 10 pz Chingiz Agabalaev
  • 9 np Ramazan Isaev
Anzhi

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Neftyanik Izberbash

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

SStats Market - Form - Bookmakers - Overview
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Neftyanik IzberbashWLLWWLLLWL
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 14 (Betcity) · X 6.7 (Liga Stavok) · 2 1.25 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 9 5.5 1.22
Winline 8.99 5.98 1.25
Fonbet 9 5.5 1.22
Betcity 14 6.5 1.17
Liga Stavok 10 6.7 1.24
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Anzhi
D D D
05.06.2022 Championat
Anzhi 05.06.2022 FNL-2 - Group 1 Rotor-2 0 : 4 Anzhi 34-y Round
29.05.2022 Championat
Anzhi 29.05.2022 FNL-2 - Group 1 Dinamo-Makhachkala 2 : 0 Anzhi 33-y Round
23.05.2022 Championat
Anzhi 23.05.2022 FNL-2 - Group 1 Anzhi 2 Forte 32-y Round
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
- Scored
- Conceded
0 Points
Neftyanik Izberbash
D D D
16.05.2022 Championat
16.05.2022 FNL-2 - Group 1 Kuban Kholding 1 : 0 Anzhi 31-y Round Neftyanik Izberbash
11.05.2022 Championat
11.05.2022 FNL-2 - Group 1 Anzhi 1 : 0 Alaniya-2 30-y Round 2 Wins 1 Draws 2 Losses 1.4 Scored 1 Conceded 13+0 Kartochki 0 +2 +2 +2 +1 0 -1 15 30 45 60 75 Neftyanik Izberbash
24.07.2026 Championat
24.07.2026 Russia — Leon-Second League B Neftyanik I 2 : 1 Neftyanik Izberbash
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
- Scored
- Conceded
0 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Anzhi
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Neftyanik Izberbash
Anzhi Team comparison Neftyanik Izberbash
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0

Anzhi Neftyanik I 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Shakhban Magomedov Said Kerimov 0:1 16' Asilder Temirsultanov 0:2 39' Arsen Vagidov Dzhambulat Abdulkadyrov 1:2 41' Gairbeg Manapov 1:3 75' Magomed Kurbanov 1:4 85' Guseyn Karaev 1:5 90+3' Nakazaniya Arsen Vagidov 32' Chingiz Agabalaev 49' Sharapudin Shalbuzov 51' Marat Idrisov 77'