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27 predictions
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AI verdict
AI pick Montpellier
win probability ~37%
confidence Low
best odds 1.03
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Montpellier. Full breakdown below.
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✓ Prematch ready
Prematch data
✓Line
✓Form
✓H2H
✓Prediction
14.08.2026 18:45 UTC
2nd round
Finished
France. Ligue 2
Nancy - Montpellier
Stadium
Marseille Piko
Referee
A. Souifi
0
:
1
Finished
Nancy meet Montpellier on August 14, 2026 in the France. Ligue 2.
Recent form (W-D-L): Nancy 1-4-0, Montpellier 3-1-1. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 36% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Montpellier — 37%
Model estimate: win Nancy 35.7%, draw 27.7%, win Montpellier 36.6%. Model favourite — Montpellier.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Nancy (odds2.63)
Score 1:0
Under 2.5
(odds1.88) ✓
Handicap H1 +0
(odds1.93)
confidence 50%
✗ outcome missed
- • Model backs Nansi: probability 50% vs 38% on the line (odds 2.63)
- • edge over the line +12 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0
- • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
- • at line 2.5 (odds 1.88)
- • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 1:0 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.93).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Nancy - Montpellier August 14, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Montpellier.
Line favourite Fonbet: Montpellier. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.73 / X 6.40 / 2 1.03
- Glicko: Nancy 35.7% / X 27.7% / Montpellier 36.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.5%
5 books
1
35.2%
X
28.0%
2
36.8%
Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
2.65
→ 2.65
1X2 X
3.50
→ 3.50
1X2 2
2.45
→ 2.45
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Ligue 2League table
Nancy
Montpellier
Best price
across 14 books
1
2.77
Superbet
X
3.43
Pinnacle
2
2.65
Betano
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Nancy
W-D-L 2-5-3
Scored 1.27
Conceded 1.84
xG 1.13
xGA 1.35
Corners 3.4
Montpellier
W-D-L 4-5-1
Scored 1.38
Conceded 0.71
xG 1.47
xGA 1.19
Corners 5.3
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Nancy
Rating 1446
xG 1.18
Win 35%
Montpellier
Rating 1508
xG 1.21
Win 37%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Nancy
35%
66.00
Draw
28%
6.40
Montpellier
37%
2.55
Handicap
Nancy (0)
49%
11.50
Montpellier (0)
51%
1.81
Total
Over 2.5
49%
11.50
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Both teams to score
Yes
43%
6.10
No
57%
2.02
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
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Match center
Stadium
Marseille Piko
Referee
A. Souifi
Start
14.08.2026 18:45 UTC
Market
1 24.5% @ 2.73 / X 10.5% @ 6.40 / 2 65.0% @ 1.03
Weather
+33°C mestami rain
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community
Montpellier 51%
📐 Math model
Montpellier 37%
💹 Market
Montpellier 37%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center
Nancy - Montpellier
Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Nansi - Monpele, 14 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Championship France po futbolu (Liga 2) 2026/27, 2-y Round. Nansi - Monpele, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
8
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 36.6% fact: away
hit / ROI 155.0% / Brier 0.607 / LogLoss 1.006
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 36.6% fact: away
hit / ROI 155.0% / Brier 0.607 / LogLoss 1.006
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Nancy
35.2%
35.7%
Draw
28.0%
27.7%
draw risk
Montpellier
36.8%
36.6%
market and model agree
xG
-
1.18 : 1.23
1X2: 6 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
35.7% / 27.7% / 36.6%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,500 / 1,500
Nancy / Montpellier
RD
350 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
800-2,200 / 800-2,200
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.03
Fonbet · no value · model 36.6%
X
6.40
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.65
market consensus · no value · model 35.7%
Double chance
12
1.09
Fonbet · no value · model 72.3%
1X
8.50
Fonbet · weak value +439.1% · model 63.4%
X2
1.01
Fonbet · no value · model 64.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.43
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
2.02
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.88
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.07
Fonbet · line only
Yes
6.10
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.07 93.5% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.97 50.8% |
| yes | 6.10 16.4% | 4.25 23.5% | 4.25 23.5% | 1.78 56.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.38 72.5% |
| 1x | 1.45 69.0% | 1.49 67.1% | 8.50 11.8% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.32 75.8% |
| x2 | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.43 29.2% | |
| X | 2.09 47.9% |
| 3.23 31.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 1 | 1.85 54.1% |
Match center
Nancy
Team form
Montpellier
10
Matches
10
25
Goals
23
2.5
Per match
2.3
4
Wins
6
5
Draws
2
1
Losses
2
Form & head-to-head
H2H 0-0-3, avg 3.0 gls
2026-08-14 · Nansi 0:1 Monpele
2026-03-06 · Nansi 0:3 Monpele
2025-10-25 · Nansi 1:4 Monpele
Source: ruscore
Odds · 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 3.15 (Pari) · X 3.5 (Betcity) · 2 2.5 (Betcity)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.15 | 3.35 | 2.2 |
| Winline | 3.1 | 3.2 | 2.23 |
| Fonbet | 3.15 | 3.35 | 2.2 |
| Betcity | 2.65 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Liga Stavok | 3.15 | 3.25 | 2.26 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Match stats
2
Cards total
5
2
Yellow cards
5
0
Red cards
0
0
Second yellows
0
4
Substitutions
5
Source: ruscore
Nancy
D
D
D
L
W
Nancy
Boulogne 0:0 Nancy
Nancy
Nancy 1:1 Annecy
Nancy
Nancy 2:2 Thionville
Nancy
Nancy 1:3 Troyes
Nancy
Nancy 3:2 Dunkerque
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.6
Conceded
6
Points
Montpellier
D
W
W
L
W
Montpellier 1:1 Dijon
Montpellier
Montpellier 4:2 Rodez
Montpellier
Clermont 0:1 Montpellier
Montpellier
Montpellier 3:4 Cannes
Montpellier
Montpellier 5:2 Le Puy
Montpellier
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.8
Scored
1.8
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNancy - Montpellier
Nancy
8
matches total
Nancy: 4 (50%)
Draws:1 (12.5%)
Montpellier: 3 (37.5%)
Biggest win
Montpellier 0:3 (06.03, 12:00)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (4:1, 25.10.25, 07:00)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
0:0 (26.11.16, 12:00)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Nancy
0:3
Montpellier
Nancy
4:1
Montpellier
Nancy
3:2
Montpellier
Nancy
0:3
Montpellier
Nancy
0:0
Montpellier
Nancy
1:0
Montpellier
Nancy
0:2
Montpellier
Nancy
1:0
Montpellier
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Nancy
Team 2
Montpellier
Nancy
Team comparison
Montpellier
1
Games
1
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
0
Scored
1
0
Conceded
1
1
Points
1
0
Attacks
0
0
Dangerous attacks
0
0
Big chances
0
11
Shots on goal
22
2
Udary v stvor
5
Matches in history
49
Biggest draw
2:2
Highest-scoring match
5:3
Liga
2 / 12 / 3 / 4 / 5 / 12
17 Cup ligi
1 / 0 / 0 / 1 / 2 / 3
Liga
1 / 36 / 13 / 7 / 16 / 43
Nansi Monpele 1 Games 1 0 Wins 0 1 Draws 1 0 Losses 0 Scored 1 0 Conceded 1 Points 1 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 11 Shots on goal 22 2 Udary v stvor 5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 6 Uglovye 3 0 Offsaydy 0 11 Foly 19 62 % vladeniya myachom 56 0 Warnings 3 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 14.05.2027 France — Liga 2 Monpele –:– Nansi 33 round Goly Yanis Issufu Lacine Megnan-Pave 0:1 72' Nakazaniya Nehemiah Fernandez 35' Deylam Medda 43' Teo Sent-Lyus 57' Gregory Ayem 68' Yael Muanga 90+1' Lacine Megnan-Pave 90+1' Enzo Tacafred 90+2'
Unlock the full match prediction
The Nancy - Montpellier breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nancy vs Montpellier?
By the PropickAI model, Montpellier is favoured — about 37% win probability.
What does PropickAI predict for Nancy vs Montpellier?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Montpellier. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
When does Nancy vs Montpellier start?
August 14, 2026.