StadiumSeltik Park (Glazgo, Shotlandiya), vmestimost: 60832
Celtic
1:0
Finished
Dundee
Celtic go head-to-head with Dundee on August 3, 2026 in the Friendly. Clubs.
Recent form (W-D-L): Celtic 1-3-1, Dundee 3-1-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 77% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Celtic — 77%
Pure model vs market (1 · Celtic): model 29% · market 80%Δ −51 ppmodel estimates below the market
77%1
1 · Celtic ✓ Pick77.3%
market80%
X · draw12.9%
market12%
2 · Dundee9.8%
market7%
Model estimate: win Celtic 77.3%, draw 12.9%, win Dundee 9.8%. Model favourite — Celtic.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Celtic - Dundee August 3, 2026
Football math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celtic.
Line favourite Fonbet: Celtic. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / X 3.75 / 2 12.00
Glicko: Celtic 77.3% / X 12.9% / Dundee 9.8%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⚽
SStats data
Statistics and model
Premiership
League table
Celtic
#80 ptsGP 00-0-00:0
Dundee
#70 ptsGP 00-0-00:0
Best price
across 14 books
11.23Dafabet
X8.16Pinnacle
215.0010Bet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Celtic
Rating 1675xG 2.56Win 79%
Dundee
Rating 1451xG 0.64Win 7%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Buy the full AI analysis
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Match center
StadiumSeltik Park (Glazgo, Shotlandiya), vmestimost: 60832
Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Celtic80.4%77.3%market and model agree
Draw12.4%12.9%draw risk
Dundee7.2%9.8%
xG-2.56 : 0.64
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P277.3% / 12.9% / 9.8%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,500 / 1,811
Celtic / Dundee
RD350 / 238
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD800-2,200 / 1,335-2,287
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
X3.75
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
11.02
Fonbet · no value · model 77.3%
Double chance
121.25
Fonbet · value +8.9% · model 87.1%
1X1.05
Fonbet · no value · model 90.2%
X210.00
Fonbet · no value · model 22.7%
Handicap
2 -15.10
Fonbet · line only
2 07.20
Fonbet · line only
1 -11.13
Fonbet · line only
1 01.05
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.510.00
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.51.02
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No1.03
Fonbet · line only
Yes9.00
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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