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28.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Friendly. Clubs

Royale Union Hutoise - Meux

Football
R
Royale Union Hutoise
1 : 1
Finished
M
Meux
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Meux — 40%

Pure model vs market (2 · Meux): model 41% · market 57% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Royale Union Hutoise26.9%
X · draw32.9%
2 · Meux40.2%

Model estimate: win Royale Union Hutoise 26.9%, draw 32.9%, win Meux 40.2%. Model favourite — Meux.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Meux (odds2.35) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Ameliano: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.35)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Royale Union Hutoise - Meux July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Meux.

Line favourite Fonbet: Meux. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.40 / X 3.20 / 2 1.60
  • Glicko: Royale Union Hutoise 26.9% / X 32.9% / Meux 40.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 14.3%
X 28.6%
2 57.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Division Profesional - Clausura
League table
Royale Union Hutoise
#91 ptsGP 20-1-11:2
DL
Meux
#52 ptsGP 20-2-02:2
DD
Best price across 13 books
1 3.81 Pinnacle
X 3.00 Betfair
2 2.44 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Royale Union Hutoise
W-D-L 2-4-4 Scored 0.47 Conceded 1.21 xG 0.98 xGA 1.15 Corners 1.0
Meux
W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.76 xG 1.07 xGA 1.26 Corners 5.2

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Royale Union Hutoise 1 : 1 Meux
13.55
X2.74
22.37

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Royale Union Hutoise - Meux

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 40.2% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.684 / LogLoss 1.112
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 40.2% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.684 / LogLoss 1.112
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Royale Union Hutoise 26.4% 26.9%
Draw 33.5% 32.9% draw risk
Meux 40.1% 40.2% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 26.9% / 32.9% / 40.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,342 / 1,500 Royale Union Hutoise / Meux
RD 300 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 743-1,942 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.60 Fonbet · no value · model 40.2%
X 3.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 6.40 Fonbet · no value · model 26.9%
Double chance
12 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 67.1%
1X 2.13 Fonbet · value +27.4% · model 59.8%
X2 1.10 Fonbet · no value · model 73.1%
Handicap
2 -1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.30 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.17 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 6.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.80 55.6% 1.62 61.7%
yes 1.90 52.6% 2.16 46.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.39 71.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.54 64.9% 1.53 65.4% 2.13 47.0%
x2 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.10 90.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.53 22.1%
X 1.76 56.8%
3.12 32.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 0.5 2.12 47.2%
Match center
Royale Union Hutoise
D
24.07 17:00 UTC Paraguay: Copa de Primera - Clausura Standings
Royale Union Hutoise 2:2 2 de Mayo
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Meux
W
25.07 19:30 UTC Paraguay: Copa de Primera - Clausura Standings
Meux 4:1 Nasonal Asunson
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points