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St Johnstone — Kilmarnock

Football 01.08.2026 13:00 UTC
Favourite St Johnstone best odds 2.24

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Friendly. Clubs
Friendly. Clubs
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
01.08.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Friendly. Clubs

St Johnstone - Kilmarnock

Football
St Johnstone
St Johnstone
0 : 0
Finished
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock

St Johnstone take on Kilmarnock on August 1, 2026 in the Friendly. Clubs.

Recent form (W-D-L): St Johnstone 3-1-1, Kilmarnock 3-2-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds3.39) Score 1:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 29% on the line (odds 3.39)
  • edge over the line +21 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction St Johnstone - Kilmarnock August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: St Johnstone. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 1.65 / 2 6.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.7% 4 books · best price +4.2%
1 43.3%
X 27.7%
2 29.0%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 13:00 UTC
Market 1 56.6% @ 1.01 / X 34.6% @ 1.65 / 2 8.8% @ 6.50
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Match center

St Johnstone - Kilmarnock

Form 5/5 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 43.4% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.801 / LogLoss 1.295
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 43.4% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.801 / LogLoss 1.295
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.50 Fonbet · line only
X 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.17 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.12 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.62 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.12 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.95 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.95 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.00 50.0% 2.11 47.4%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5% 2.17 46.1%
1x 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.12 89.3%
x2 1.59 62.9% 1.65 60.6% 10.50 9.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.75 36.4%
X 2.30 43.5%
3.69 27.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.75 57.1%
Under 1 2.00 50.0%
Match center
St Johnstone
D L W W W
2026-07-25 League Cup 26/27, Group F
St Johnstone St Johnstone 1:1 East Fife
2026-07-21 League Cup 26/27, Group F
St Johnstone Inverness 1:0 St Johnstone
2026-07-18 League Cup 26/27, Group F
St Johnstone St Johnstone 3:0 Greenock Morton
2026-07-14 League Cup 26/27, Group F
St Johnstone Linlithgow Rose 0:2 St Johnstone
2026-07-04 Club Friendly Games 2026
St Johnstone Montrose 0:3 St Johnstone
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.4 Conceded
10 Points
Kilmarnock
D W W D W
2026-07-25 League Cup 26/27, Group H
Peterhead 0:0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
2026-07-21 League Cup 26/27, Group H
Kilmarnock 1:0 Hamilton Academical Kilmarnock
2026-07-18 League Cup 26/27, Group H
Elgin City 0:1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
2026-07-14 League Cup 26/27, Group H
Kilmarnock 0:0 Raith Rovers Kilmarnock
2026-07-04 Club Friendly Games 2026
Linfield 2:3 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
11 Points

Frequently asked questions

When does St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock start?

August 1, 2026.