AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Levadiakos. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →Greece. Cup. Qualification
Levadiakos - Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos meet Asteras Tripolis on August 19, 2026 in the Greece. Cup. Qualification.
Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Levadiakos — 42%
Model estimate: win Levadiakos 42.1%, draw 30.0%, win Asteras Tripolis 27.9%. Model favourite — Levadiakos.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Levadiakos: probability 50% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.20)
- • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Levadiakos - Asteras Tripolis August 19, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.21 / X 3.10 / 2 3.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
CupHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Levadiakos - Asteras Tripolis
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.68 59.5% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.69 59.2% |
| yes | 1.93 51.8% | 1.93 51.8% | 2.09 47.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.32 75.8% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.64 61.0% |
| 1x | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.16 86.2% |
| x2 | 1.57 63.7% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.94 34.0% | |
| X | 1.97 50.8% |
| 4.30 23.3% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 1 | 2.30 43.5% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Under 1 | 1.55 64.5% |
Full head-to-head history: Levadiakos - Asteras Tripolis
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Levadiakos - Asteras Tripolis breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
When does Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis start?
August 19, 2026.