AI verdict

AI pick Niki Volos win probability ~52% best odds 2.55

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Niki Volos. Full breakdown below.

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Greece. Cup. Qualification
Greece. Cup. Qualification
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
19.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Not started

Greece. Cup. Qualification

Niki Volos - Panionios

Football
N
Niki Volos
- : -
Not started
P
Panionios

Niki Volos take on Panionios on August 19, 2026 in the Greece. Cup. Qualification.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Niki Volos52%

1 · Niki Volos52.1%
X · draw19.4%
2 · Panionios28.5%

Model estimate: win Niki Volos 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win Panionios 28.5%. Model favourite — Niki Volos.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Niki Volos - Panionios August 19, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Niki Volos. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.55 / X 3.05 / 2 2.75

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 36.2%
X 30.3%
2 33.6%

Odds source: Baltbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Cup
Best price across 6 books
1 2.65 Dafabet
X 3.10 10Bet
2 3.05 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Niki Volos
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.25 Conceded 1.48 xG 0.90 xGA 1.48 Corners 1.0
Panionios
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.16 Conceded 0.86 xG 1.16 xGA 1.06 Corners 1.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

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Match center
Start 19.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 36.2% @ 2.55 / X 30.3% @ 3.05 / 2 33.6% @ 2.75
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Niki Volos 52%
💹 Market Niki Volos 36%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Niki Volos - Panionios

Market 3 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Niki Volos 36.2% 52.1% market and model agree
Draw 30.3% 19.4% draw risk
Panionios 33.6% 28.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.1% / 19.4% / 28.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Niki Volos / Panionios
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.75 market consensus · no value · model 28.5%
X 3.05 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.55 market consensus · value +32.9% · model 52.1%
Double chance
12 1.32 market consensus · value +6.4% · model 80.6%
1X 1.39 market consensus · no value · model 71.5%
X2 1.44 market consensus · no value · model 47.9%
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet
12 1.32 75.8%
1x 1.39 71.9%
x2 1.44 69.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet
Over 2.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 2.5 1.58 63.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet
2.55 39.2%
X 3.05 32.8%
2.75 36.4%
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Niki Volos - Panionios

Niki Volos
0 matches total
Panionios
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Niki Volos vs Panionios start?

August 19, 2026.