AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Larissa. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Greece. Cup. Qualification
Afiny Kallifeya meet Larissa on August 17, 2026 in the Greece. Cup. Qualification.
PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 27% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Larissa — 54%
Model estimate: win Afiny Kallifeya 26.9%, draw 18.8%, win Larissa 54.3%. Model favourite — Larissa.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Larissa.
For reference
Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.90 52.6% |
| yes | 1.84 54.4% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.71 27.0% | |
| X | 2.04 49.0% |
| 3.13 32.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.12 47.2% |
| Under 1 | 1.64 61.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| 2.25 44.4% | |
| 2.11 47.4% | |
| 1.57 63.7% |
Larissa
Trikala
Full head-to-head history: Afiny Kallifeya - Larissa
The Afiny Kallifeya - Larissa breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
By the PropickAI model, Larissa is favoured — about 54% win probability.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Larissa. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
August 17, 2026.
