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8 predictions
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AI verdict
AI pick Aris
win probability ~77%
confidence High
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Aris. Full breakdown below.
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Prematch data
✓Line
✓Form
✓H2H
✓Prediction
17.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Not started
Greece. Cup. Qualification
Karditsa - Aris
K
Karditsa
-
:
-
Not started
A
Aris
Karditsa face Aris on August 17, 2026 in the Greece. Cup. Qualification.
Recent form (W-D-L): Karditsa 3-2-0, Aris 1-0-4. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Aris — 77%
Model estimate: win Karditsa 6.6%, draw 15.9%, win Aris 77.5%. Model favourite — Aris.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Karditsa - Aris August 17, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 7.4%
3 books · best price +3.5%
1
4.2%
2 ✓ Pick
80.3%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Karditsa
4%
24.00
Draw
15%
6.30
Aris
80%
1.19
Total
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Under 2.5
43%
2.20
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Karditsa
1
:
2
Aris
120.00
X5.95
21.11
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Start
17.08.2026 15:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community
Draw 50%
📐 Math model
Aris 77%
💹 Market
Aris 80%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Karditsa - Aris
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
5
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Karditsa
4.2%
6.6%
Draw
15.5%
15.9%
draw risk
Aris
80.3%
77.5%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
6.6% / 15.9% / 77.5%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,500 / 1,500
Karditsa / Aris
RD
350 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
800-2,200 / 800-2,200
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.16
market consensus · no value · model 77.5%
X
6.07
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
Double chance
12
1.10
market consensus · no value · model 84.1%
1X
4.90
market consensus · no value · model 22.5%
Total
Over 2.5
1.62
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.19
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.42
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.75
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.42 70.4% |
| yes | 2.75 36.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.09 91.7% | 1.10 90.9% |
| 1x | 4.70 21.3% | 5.10 19.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 15.30 6.5% | |
| X | 2.86 35.0% |
| 1.50 66.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
Match center
Karditsa
Team form
Aris
10
Matches
10
20
Goals
14
2.0
Per match
1.4
6
Wins
2
4
Draws
2
0
Losses
6
Form & head-to-head
KarditsaLDLLLDLLWW
ArisLDWWWWWWDL
Source: ruscore
Odds · 3 bookmakers
Best price: 1 21 (Winline) · X 7.6 (Winline) · 2 1.18 (Pari)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 18 | 5.7 | 1.18 |
| Winline | 21 | 7.6 | 1.11 |
| Betcity | 17 | 5.4 | 1.17 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Karditsa
D
W
W
W
D
Dinamo Batumi
2:2
Gagra
Garedzhi
1:4
Gagra
Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe
1:2
Gagra
Gagra
3:1
TsSKA Erevan
Gagra
2:2
Urartu
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
1.8
Scored
2.2
Conceded
11
Points
Aris
L
L
W
L
L
Spaeri
1:2
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi 2015
3:1
Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1:5
Spaeri
Spaeri
0:1
Samgurali
Spaeri
2:3
Urartu
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
1.4
Scored
2.4
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head history: Karditsa - Aris
Karditsa
5
matches total
Karditsa: 3 (60%)
Draws:1 (20%)
Aris: 1 (20%)
Biggest win
Karditsa 3:0 (11.05, 10:15)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (2:2, 05.11.24, 08:00)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
2:2 (05.11.24, 08:00)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Karditsa
3:0
Aris
Karditsa
0:3
Aris
Karditsa
2:2
Aris
Karditsa
3:1
Aris
Karditsa
2:0
Aris
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Karditsa
Team 2
Aris
Matches in history
5
Biggest draw
2:2
Highest-scoring match
2:2
Premier League
4 / 1 / 0 / 3 / 3 / 9
Cup Gruzii
1 / 0 / 1 / 0 / 2 / 2
Unlock the full match prediction
The Karditsa - Aris breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
When does Karditsa vs Aris start?
August 17, 2026.