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Iceland. Premier League
Iceland. Premier League
16-y Round 27.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 16:00 UTC 16-y Round
Finished

Iceland. Premier League

Breidablik - IB Vestmannaeyjar

Football
Stadium Koupavogsvellur (Koupavogyur, Iceland), vmestimost: 5501
Breidablik
Breidablik
1 : 0
Finished
IB Vestmannaeyjar
IB Vestmannaeyjar
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Breidablik — 56%

Pure model vs market (1 · Breidablik): model 46% · market 72% Δ −26 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Breidablik55.9%
X · draw21.0%
2 · IB Vestmannaeyjar23.1%

Model estimate: win Breidablik 55.9%, draw 21.0%, win IB Vestmannaeyjar 23.1%. Model favourite — Breidablik.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Breidablik (odds1.68) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Model backs Breydablik: probability 50% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.68)
  • • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Breidablik - IB Vestmannaeyjar July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Breidablik.

Line favourite Fonbet: Breidablik. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 6.80 / 2 4.20
  • Glicko: Breidablik 55.9% / X 21.0% / IB Vestmannaeyjar 23.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 37.5%
1 72.0%
X 10.7%
2 17.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Úrvalsdeild
League table
Breidablik
#429 ptsGP 168-5-335:26
WDWWL
IB Vestmannaeyjar
#816 ptsGP 164-4-826:34
LDLWD
Best price across 13 books
1 1.75 Pinnacle
X 4.41 Pinnacle
2 4.50 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model form (Glicko)
Breidablik
Rating 1605
IB Vestmannaeyjar
Rating 1454

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Breidablik 3 : 1 IB Vestmannaeyjar
11.67
X4.20
24.23

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

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Participant opinions
293 predictions Choose an outcome
1 93% 114
X 5% 7
2 0% 1
Double chance X2 2.10 (12) - 1X 1.21 (6)
handicap1 handicap1:-1_5 2.58 (23) - handicap1:-1 2.12 (21) - handicap2:1 1.67 (2)
Total TB 3.5 2.03 (14) - TB 4.5 3.10 (5) - TM 2.5 2.71 (4)
total_t2_under total_t1_over:2_5 2.45 (7) - total_t1_over:2 1.85 (5) - total_t1_over:1_5 1.47 (3)
Match center
Stadium Koupavogsvellur (Koupavogyur, Iceland), vmestimost: 5501
Start 27.07.2026 16:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Breidablik 93%
📐 Math model Breidablik 56%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Breidablik - IB Vestmannaeyjar

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Breydablik - Vestmannaeyyar, 27 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Islandii po futbolu 2026, 16 round. Breydablik - Vestmannaeyyar, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 122 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 55.9% fact: home hit / ROI 65.0% / Brier 0.292 / LogLoss 0.582
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 55.9% fact: home hit / ROI 65.0% / Brier 0.292 / LogLoss 0.582
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Breidablik 56.6% 55.9% market and model agree
Draw 21.0% 21.0% draw risk
IB Vestmannaeyjar 22.5% 23.1%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 55.9% / 21.0% / 23.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,495 / 1,481 Breidablik / IB Vestmannaeyjar
RD 207 / 217 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,082-1,909 / 1,047-1,915 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.12 market consensus · no value · model 23.1%
X 6.80 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 55.9%
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 79.0%
1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 76.9%
X2 9.50 Fonbet · no value · model 44.1%
Handicap
2 -1 2.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 9.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.30 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.07 93.5% 2.61 38.3%
yes 6.50 15.4% 1.43 69.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.07 93.5%
1x 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.02 98.0%
x2 2.10 47.6% 2.16 46.3% 9.50 10.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.07 48.3%
X 2.55 39.2%
4.24 23.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.98 50.5%
Under 1.5 1.74 57.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-1-0, avg 2.0 gls
2026-07-27 · Breydablik 1:0 IBV Vestmannayar
2026-05-03 · Breydablik 2:1 IBV Vestmannayar
2025-09-15 · Breydablik 1:1 IBV Vestmannayar
2025-06-15 · Breydablik 2:0 IBV Vestmannayar
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.7 (Betcity) · X 4.5 (Pari) · 2 4 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.68 4.5 4
Winline 1.68 4 3.85
Fonbet 1.68 4.5 4
Betcity 1.7 4.4 4
Liga Stavok 1.7 4.1 3.9
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Breidablik
L W W
20.07 17:15 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
Breidablik 0:7 KhabnarfordyurKhabnarfordyur
13.07 17:15 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
Breidablik 2:1 KeblavikKeblavik
04.07 12:00 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
Breidablik 2:1 AkranesAkranes
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
3.0 Conceded
6 Points
IB Vestmannaeyjar
D L W W
19.07 12:00 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
IB Vestmannaeyjar 2:2 AkyureyriAkyureyri
12.07 16:00 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
IB Vestmannaeyjar 2:5 KR ReykyavikKR Reykyavik
04.07 14:00 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
IB Vestmannaeyjar 1:0 ValyurValyur
14.06 14:30 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
IB Vestmannaeyjar 4:1 Tor AkyureyriTor Akyureyri
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
2.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Breidablik
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 IB Vestmannaeyjar
Breidablik Team comparison IB Vestmannaeyjar
15 Games 15
7 Wins 4
5 Draws 4
3 Losses 7
34 Scored 26
26 Conceded 33
26 Points 16
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
15 Games 15
7 Wins 4
5 Draws 4
3 Losses 7
34 Scored 26
26 Conceded 33

Breydablik Vestmannaeyyar 15 Games 15 7 Wins 4 5 Draws 4 3 Losses 7 34 Scored 26 Conceded 33 26 Points 16 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 1.6 Warnings 2.4 0 Sendoffs 0.13 Goly August Orri Torsteynsson 1:0 51' Nakazaniya Ivar Oern Arnason 29' Kristinn Steyndoursson 59' Ausgeyr Khelgi Orrason 88' Dagur Orn Fjeldsted 90+2' Khlinyur Freyr Karlsson 90+2' Statistika Breydablik Vestmannaeyyar 5 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 62% 23% 15% Double chance 43% 38% 19% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1305066' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');