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India. Calcutta. Division 1
India. Calcutta. Division 1
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
03.08.2026 10:30 UTC
Finished

India. Calcutta. Division 1

TRAU - Raengdai

Football
T
TRAU
3 : 4
Finished
R
Raengdai

TRAU face Raengdai on August 3, 2026 in the India. Calcutta. Division 1.

Recent form (W-D-L): TRAU 0-2-3, Raengdai 2-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 37% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 TRAU37%

Pure model vs market (1 · TRAU): model 38% · market 37% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · TRAU36.6%
X · draw27.4%
2 · Raengdai36.0%

Model estimate: win TRAU 36.6%, draw 27.4%, win Raengdai 36.0%. Model favourite — TRAU.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Raengdai (odds2.12) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Raengdai: probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.12)
  • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction TRAU - Raengdai August 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Raengdai.

Line favourite Fonbet: Raengdai. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.90 / X 1.68 / 2 1.11
  • Glicko: TRAU 36.6% / X 27.4% / Raengdai 36.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.6% 3 books · best price +56.0%
1 36.5%
X 27.7%
2 35.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

TRAU 1 : 1 Raengdai
12.48
X3.28
22.47

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 10:30 UTC
Market 1 14.6% @ 3.90 / X 34.0% @ 1.68 / 2 51.4% @ 1.11
Match center

TRAU - Raengdai

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:4
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 36.6% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.618 / LogLoss 1.021
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 36.6% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.618 / LogLoss 1.021
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
TRAU 36.6% 36.6% market and model agree
Draw 27.6% 27.4% draw risk
Raengdai 35.8% 36.0%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 36.6% / 27.4% / 36.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,481 / 1,600 TRAU / Raengdai
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 899-2,063 / 1,018-2,182 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 36.0%
X 1.68 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.90 Fonbet · no value · model 36.6%
Double chance
12 1.95 Fonbet · value +41.7% · model 72.6%
1X 4.70 Fonbet · weak value +200.7% · model 64.0%
X2 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 63.4%
Handicap
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.84 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.19 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.95 51.3%
1x 1.37 73.0% 1.45 69.0% 4.70 21.3%
x2 1.39 71.9% 1.47 68.0% 1.20 83.3%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.16 86.2%
1.01 99.0%
1.07 93.5%
1.01 99.0%
12.50 8.0%
10.50 9.5%
1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 12.50 8.0%
4.60 21.7%
13.00 7.7%
6.40 15.6%
11.50 8.7%
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.01 99.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.10 90.9%
Over 2.5 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.19 84.0%
Over 3.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 4.5 1.23 81.3%
Over 5.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 6.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 7.5 6.50 15.4%
Over 8.5 13.00 7.7%
Under 0.5 6.00 16.7%
Under 1.5 5.40 18.5%
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 4.00 25.0%
Under 3.5 3.85 26.0%
Under 4.5 3.60 27.8%
Match center
TRAU
D L L D L
2026-07-28 Durand Cup 2026, Group D
TRAU TRAU 0:0 Neroca
2025-08-12 Durand Cup 2025, Group F
TRAU TRAU 1:2 Indian Navy
2025-08-04 Durand Cup 2025, Group F
TRAU TRAU 1:2 Real Kashmir
2025-07-30 Durand Cup 2025, Group F
TRAU TRAU 1:1 Neroca
2025-04-26 I-League 2 24/25
TRAU TRAU 1:2 Neroca
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
2 Points
Raengdai
W
2026-07-30 Durand Cup 2026, Group D
Raengdai 1:0 Indian Navy Raengdai
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTRAU - Raengdai

TRAU
0 matches total
Raengdai
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history