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India. Durand Cup. Group stage
India. Durand Cup. Group stage
27.07.2026 11:30 UTC
Finished

India. Durand Cup. Group stage

Mohammedan (r) - Baghpat

Football
Mohammedan (r)
Mohammedan (r)
4 : 0
Finished
B
Baghpat

Mohammedan (r) take on Baghpat on July 27, 2026 in the India. Durand Cup. Group stage.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mohammedan (r) (odds5.00) Score 2:1 confidence 57% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Mokhammedan Kalkutta: probability 57% vs 20% on the line (odds 5.00)
  • edge over the line +37 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mohammedan (r) - Baghpat July 27, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mohammedan (r). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.10 / X 7.50 / 2 13.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.4% 6 books · best price +429.5%
1 37.4%
X 24.7%
2 37.9%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Bet365, Bet365 (no latency), Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Mohammedan (r) 1 : 3 Baghpat
12.10
X3.48
22.96

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 11:30 UTC
Market 1 81.2% @ 1.10 / X 11.9% @ 7.50 / 2 6.9% @ 13.00
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Match center

Mohammedan (r) - Baghpat

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 38.1% fact: home hit / ROI 150.0% / Brier 0.581 / LogLoss 0.965
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 38.1% fact: home hit / ROI 150.0% / Brier 0.581 / LogLoss 0.965
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.08 market consensus · line only
X 7.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 5.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.80 market consensus · line only
2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.91 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.75 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.53 65.4% 2.50 40.0%
yes 2.35 42.6% 1.47 68.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.21 82.6% 1.27 78.7% 1.05 95.2%
1x 1.40 71.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.39 71.9% 1.47 68.0% 5.00 20.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.94 34.0%
X 2.23 44.8%
3.12 32.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 1 1.57 63.7%
Over 1.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 0.5 3.59 27.9%
Under 1 2.26 44.3%
Under 1.5 1.55 64.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMohammedan (r) - Baghpat

Mohammedan (r)
0 matches total
Baghpat
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Mohammedan (r) vs Baghpat start?

July 27, 2026.