What does PropickAI predict for Kerry vs UCD?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to UCD. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Kerry vs UCD?

Live odds for Kerry vs UCD from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

AI verdict

AI pick UCD win probability ~37% confidence Low best odds 2.43

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to UCD. Full breakdown below.

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Ireland. Division 1

21.08.2026 18:45 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

21.08.2026 18:45 UTC

Finished

Ireland. Division 1

Kerry vs UCD — Football prediction

Football

Kerry

1 : 1

Finished

UCD

Kerry face UCD on August 21, 2026 in the Ireland. Division 1.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kerry 4-0-1, UCD 3-2-0. The market favourite is UCD at roughly 37%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kerry - UCD August 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like UCD.

Line favourite market consensus: UCD. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.56 / X 3.29 / 2 2.43
1X2 market: Kerry 35.2% / X 27.5% / UCD 37.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9% 14 books · best price +3.3%

1 35.2%

X 27.5%

2 37.3%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

First Division

League table

Kerry

#636 ptsGP 289-9-1035:34

UCD

#244 ptsGP 2813-5-1047:33

Best price across 14 books

1 2.70 Pinnacle

X 3.51 Pinnacle

2 2.54 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Kerry

W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.71 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.18 xGA 1.43

UCD

W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.90 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.63 xGA 1.24

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Kerry

Rating 1448

UCD

Rating 1492

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Kerry

35%

2.70

Draw

27%

3.50

UCD

37%

2.54

Total

Over 2.75

51%

1.92

Under 2.75

49%

2.02

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated19.08.2026 04:11 UTC

1 42% ✓ favourite

X 33%

2 25%

Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Double Chance 1X

Per AI data Form:LWWWD / LWDDW H2H: 1-1-1 Injuries:none Key:Playoff motivation and high draw frequency

AI	1	X	2	Score	Total goals	BTTS	Bet
Google AI	42%	33%	25%	1:1	Under 2.5	Yes	Double Chance 1X

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Match center

Start 21.08.2026 18:45 UTC

Market 1 35.3% @ 2.56 / X 27.5% @ 3.29 / 2 37.2% @ 2.43

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Kerry 42%

💹 Market UCD 3727%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Kerry - UCD

Form 5/5 recent games

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 36.5% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.796 / LogLoss 1.303

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 36.5% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.796 / LogLoss 1.303

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.43 market consensus · line only

X 3.29 market consensus · line only

1 2.57 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.34 market consensus · line only

1 +0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.28 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.56 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	2.66 37.6%	2.56 39.1%	2.55 39.2%	2.57 38.9%	2.50 40.0%	2.38 42.0%
X	3.40 29.4%	3.26 30.7%	3.40 29.4%	3.35 29.9%	3.30 30.3%	3.10 32.3%
	2.50 40.0%	2.42 41.3%	2.45 40.8%	2.47 40.5%	2.50 40.0%	2.20 45.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	2.28 43.9%
yes	1.56 64.1%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	9.50 10.5%
0_1	8.00 12.5%
0_2	11.00 9.1%
0_3	23.00 4.4%
0_4	51.00 2.0%
0_5	126.00 0.8%
1_0	8.50 11.8%
1_1	5.75 17.4%
1_2	8.00 12.5%
1_3	15.00 6.7%
1_4	34.00 2.9%
1_5	91.00 1.1%
2_0	12.00 8.3%
2_1	8.00 12.5%
2_2	10.00 10.0%
2_3	19.00 5.3%
2_4	46.00 2.2%
2_5	101.00 1.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	3.08 32.5%
X	2.28 43.9%
	2.97 33.7%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-2-6, avg 2.0 gls

2026-08-21 · Kerri 1:1 YuKD

2026-06-19 · Kerri 1:0 YuKD

2026-04-10 · Kerri 1:1 YuKD

2026-02-13 · Kerri 1:2 YuKD

2025-09-19 · Kerri 1:2 YuKD

Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.85 (Pari) · X 3.35 (Pari) · 2 2.35 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	2.85	3.35	2.35
Winline	2.8	3.2	2.32
Fonbet	2.85	3.35	2.35
Betcity	2.85	3.3	2.34

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Kerry

L W W W W

07.08 18:45 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings

Kerry 1:3 Kork Siti

02.08 16:00 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings

Kerry 3:0 Kob Remblers

31.07 16:45 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings

Kerry 4:0 Brey Uonderers

25.07 16:45 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings

Kerry 2:1 Finn Kherps

27.06 16:45 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings

Kerry 2:1 Longford Taun

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.4 Scored

1.0 Conceded

12 Points

UCD

W D D W W

07.08 18:45 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings

UCD 4:1 Veksford

02.08 16:00 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings

UCD 0:0 Triti Yunayted

31.07 16:45 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings

UCD 0:0 Atlon

25.07 16:45 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings

UCD 5:2 Kork Siti

27.06 16:45 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings

UCD 2:0 Kob Remblers

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

2.2 Scored

0.6 Conceded

11 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Kerry - UCD

Kerry

0 matches total

UCD

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Kerry vs UCD — Football prediction

AI match prediction Kerry - UCD August 21, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

AI outcome leader: 1

Forecast by market

AI predictions

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