Match center
Start
30.07.2026 16:45 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
30.07.2026 16:45 UTC
Finished
Ireland. Premier League
FC Dundalk - Sligo Rovers
2
:
1
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 FC Dundalk — 65%
Pure model vs market (1 · FC Dundalk): model 50% · market 67% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win FC Dundalk 65.0%, draw 19.7%, win Sligo Rovers 15.3%. Model favourite — FC Dundalk.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1FC Dundalk (odds1.42)
Score 2:0
confidence 65%
✓ outcome correct
- • Model backs Dandolk: probability 65% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.42)
- • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction FC Dundalk - Sligo Rovers July 30, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Dundalk.
Line favourite market consensus: FC Dundalk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.43 / X 5.00 / 2 6.70
- Glicko: FC Dundalk 65.0% / X 19.7% / Sligo Rovers 15.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 ✓ Pick
66.7%
X
19.1%
2
14.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
FC Dundalk - Sligo Rovers
Form
3/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 65.0% fact: home
hit / ROI 43.0% / Brier 0.185 / LogLoss 0.431
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 65.0% fact: home
hit / ROI 43.0% / Brier 0.185 / LogLoss 0.431
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
FC Dundalk
65.9%
65.0%
market and model agree
Draw
19.6%
19.7%
draw risk
Sligo Rovers
14.5%
15.3%
1X2: 2 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
65.0% / 19.7% / 15.3%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,531 / 1,427
FC Dundalk / Sligo Rovers
RD
211 / 240
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,109-1,952 / 948-1,907
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.45
market consensus · no value · model 15.3%
X
4.77
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.42
market consensus · no value · model 65.0%
Double chance
12
1.15
market consensus · no value · model 80.3%
1X
1.09
market consensus · no value · model 84.7%
X2
2.80
market consensus · no value · model 35.0%
Both teams to score
No
2.05
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.69
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.05 48.8% |
| yes | 1.69 59.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.15 87.0% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 2.80 35.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | |
| X | 2.55 39.2% |
| 6.10 16.4% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.17 46.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.56 64.1% |
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 1-0-1, avg 2.5 gls
2026-07-28 · Shemrok Rovers 2:1 Ararat-Armenia
2026-07-21 · Shemrok Rovers 0:2 Ararat-Armenia
Source: ruscore
Odds · 4 bookmakers
Best price: 1 1.85 (Betcity) · X 3.75 (Pari) · 2 4 (Betcity)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.95 |
| Winline | 1.82 | 3.7 | 3.85 |
| Fonbet | 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.95 |
| Betcity | 1.85 | 3.7 | 4 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Match stats
1
Cards total
3
1
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
0
Second yellows
0
5
Substitutions
5
Source: ruscore
FC Dundalk
L
L
L
FC Dundalk
1:2
Sent-Patriks Atletik
Sent-Patriks Atletik
FC Dundalk
1:2
Shelburn
Shelburn
FC Dundalk
2:3
Uoterford Yunayted
Uoterford Yunayted
0
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.3
Scored
2.3
Conceded
0
Points
Sligo Rovers
D
L
Sligo Rovers
2:2
Droeda Yunayted
Droeda Yunayted
Sligo Rovers
2:3
Goluey Yunayted
Goluey Yunayted
0
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
2.5
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFC Dundalk - Sligo Rovers
FC Dundalk
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The FC Dundalk - Sligo Rovers breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form