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Ireland. Premier League
Ireland. Premier League
30.07.2026 16:45 UTC Match prediction
30.07.2026 16:45 UTC
Finished

Ireland. Premier League

FC Dundalk - Sligo Rovers

Football
FC Dundalk
FC Dundalk
2 : 1
Finished
Sligo Rovers
Sligo Rovers
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 FC Dundalk — 65%

Pure model vs market (1 · FC Dundalk): model 50% · market 67% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · FC Dundalk ✓ Pick65.0%
market67%
X · draw19.7%
market19%
2 · Sligo Rovers15.3%
market14%

Model estimate: win FC Dundalk 65.0%, draw 19.7%, win Sligo Rovers 15.3%. Model favourite — FC Dundalk.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1FC Dundalk (odds1.42) Score 2:0 confidence 65% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Dandolk: probability 65% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.42)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Dundalk - Sligo Rovers July 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Dundalk.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Dundalk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.43 / X 5.00 / 2 6.70
  • Glicko: FC Dundalk 65.0% / X 19.7% / Sligo Rovers 15.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 ✓ Pick 66.7%
X 19.1%
2 14.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 16:45 UTC
Match center

FC Dundalk - Sligo Rovers

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
FC Dundalk 65.9% 65.0% market and model agree
Draw 19.6% 19.7% draw risk
Sligo Rovers 14.5% 15.3%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 65.0% / 19.7% / 15.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,531 / 1,427 FC Dundalk / Sligo Rovers
RD 211 / 240 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,109-1,952 / 948-1,907 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.45 market consensus · no value · model 15.3%
X 4.77 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.42 market consensus · no value · model 65.0%
Double chance
12 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 80.3%
1X 1.09 market consensus · no value · model 84.7%
X2 2.80 market consensus · no value · model 35.0%
Both teams to score
No 2.04 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.04 49.0%
yes 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.15 87.0%
1x 1.09 91.7%
x2 2.80 35.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.84 54.4%
X 2.55 39.2%
6.10 16.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 1.5 1.55 64.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-1, avg 2.5 gls
2026-07-28 · Shemrok Rovers 2:1 Ararat-Armenia
2026-07-21 · Shemrok Rovers 0:2 Ararat-Armenia
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.85 (Betcity) · X 3.75 (Pari) · 2 4 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.83 3.75 3.95
Winline 1.82 3.7 3.85
Fonbet 1.83 3.75 3.95
Betcity 1.85 3.7 4
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

1 Cards total 3
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
5 Substitutions 5
Source: ruscore
FC Dundalk
L L L
24.07 17:00 UTC Ireland: Premer-Division Standings
FC Dundalk 1:2 Sent-Patriks AtletikSent-Patriks Atletik
03.07 17:00 UTC Ireland: Premer-Division Standings
FC Dundalk 1:2 ShelburnShelburn
27.06 16:45 UTC Ireland: Premer-Division Standings
FC Dundalk 2:3 Uoterford YunaytedUoterford Yunayted
0 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.3 Scored
2.3 Conceded
0 Points
Sligo Rovers
D L
26.07 16:45 UTC Ireland: Premer-Division Standings
Sligo Rovers 2:2 Droeda YunaytedDroeda Yunayted
11.07 14:00 UTC Ireland: Premer-Division Standings
Sligo Rovers 2:3 Goluey YunaytedGoluey Yunayted
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Dundalk - Sligo Rovers

FC Dundalk
0 matches total
Sligo Rovers
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history