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Israel. League Cup. Group stage
Israel. League Cup. Group stage
29.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Israel. League Cup. Group stage

Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Petah Tikva

Football
H
Hapoel Ramat Gan
2 : 1
Finished
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Petah Tikva
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Hapoel Petah Tikva — 44%

Pure model vs market (2 · Hapoel Petah Tikva): model 38% · market 29% Δ +9 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Hapoel Ramat Gan29.9%
X · draw26.6%
2 · Hapoel Petah Tikva43.5%

Model estimate: win Hapoel Ramat Gan 29.9%, draw 26.6%, win Hapoel Petah Tikva 43.5%. Model favourite — Hapoel Petah Tikva.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Hapoel Petah Tikva (odds2.12) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Khapoel Petakh-Tikva: probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.12)
  • • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Petah Tikva July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hapoel Ramat Gan.

Line favourite Fonbet: Hapoel Ramat Gan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 5.90 / 2 2.10
  • Glicko: Hapoel Ramat Gan 29.9% / X 26.6% / Hapoel Petah Tikva 43.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 63.6%
1 60.5%
X 10.4%
2 29.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Hapoel Ramat Gan 1 : 1 Hapoel Petah Tikva
13.16
X3.30
22.09

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Petah Tikva

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hapoel Ramat Gan 29.3% 29.9%
Draw 26.8% 26.6% draw risk
Hapoel Petah Tikva 43.9% 43.5% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 29.9% / 26.6% / 43.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,600 Hapoel Ramat Gan / Hapoel Petah Tikva
RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,018-2,182 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.08 market consensus · no value · model 43.5%
X 5.90 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 29.9%
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 73.4%
1X 1.12 Fonbet · no value · model 56.5%
X2 10.00 Fonbet · weak value +601.1% · model 70.1%
Handicap
2 -1 2.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.72 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.65 60.6% 2.14 46.7%
yes 2.10 47.6% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.09 91.7%
1x 1.61 62.1% 1.69 59.2% 1.12 89.3%
x2 1.29 77.5% 1.32 75.8% 10.00 10.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.79 26.4%
X 2.13 47.0%
2.65 37.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.73 57.8%
Under 1 1.99 50.3%
Match center
Hapoel Petah Tikva
W
25.07 15:30 UTC Israel: Cup Toto Standings
Hapoel Petah Tikva 1:0 Makkabi Petakh-Tikva
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points