AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Pianese. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
28.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Match prediction
Italy: Serie C - Group B
Pianese face Vado on August 28, 2026 in the Italy: Serie C - Group B.
Recent form (W-D-L): Pianese 1-2-2, Vado 3-1-1. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 47% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Pianese — 47%
Model estimate: win Pianese 47.1%, draw 19.8%, win Vado 33.1%. Model favourite — Pianese.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Double chance — Pianese or draw 1.05
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
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We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.01 99.0% | 1.72 58.1% |
| yes | 12.00 8.3% | 2.00 50.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 4.80 20.8% |
| 1x | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 1.03 97.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.01 33.2% | |
| X | 1.91 52.4% |
| 4.07 24.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| Over 1 | 2.12 47.2% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.26 44.3% |
| Under 1 | 1.59 62.9% |
Vado
Full head-to-head history: Pianese - Vado
The Pianese - Vado breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
By the PropickAI model, draw is favoured — about 47% win probability.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to draw. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
Live odds for Pianese vs Vado from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
August 28, 2026.
Match markets