Tobyl 2 1:0 Shakhtar Karaganda result — July 31, 2026

Match center

Tobyl 2 - Shakhtar Karaganda

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Movement

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 65.3% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.101 / LogLoss 1.645

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 65.3% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.101 / LogLoss 1.645

Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 65.3% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.101 / LogLoss 1.645

Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 65.3% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.101 / LogLoss 1.645

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Tobyl 2 5.1% 19.3%

Draw 8.6% 15.5% draw risk

Shakhtar Karaganda 86.3% 65.2% market and model agree

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 19.3% / 15.5% / 65.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,217 / 1,925 Tobyl 2 / Shakhtar Karaganda

RD 208 / 175 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 801-1,633 / 1,574-2,276 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.05 market consensus · no value · model 65.2%

Both teams to score

No 1.60 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.11 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line