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Kazakhstan. Women. Premier League
Kazakhstan. Women. Premier League
28.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Kazakhstan. Women. Premier League

Aktobe (w) - Irtysh Pavlodar (Zh)

Football
Aktobe (w)
Aktobe (w)
9 : 0
Finished
Irtysh Pavlodar (Zh)
Irtysh Pavlodar (Zh)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Aktobe (w) — 71%

1 · Aktobe (w) ✓ Pick71.3%
X · draw16.0%
2 · Irtysh Pavlodar (Zh)12.6%

Model estimate: win Aktobe (w) 71.3%, draw 16.0%, win Irtysh Pavlodar (Zh) 12.6%. Model favourite — Aktobe (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Aktobe (w) (odds1.40) Score 2:0 confidence 71% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Aktobe (Zh): probability 71% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.40)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Aktobe (w) - Irtysh Pavlodar (Zh) July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Aktobe (w) 71.3% / X 16.0% / Irtysh Pavlodar (Zh) 12.6%

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Aktobe (w) 7 : 1 Irtysh Pavlodar (Zh)

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Aktobe (w) - Irtysh Pavlodar (Zh)

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 9:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table home - 71.3% fact: home hit / Brier 0.124 / LogLoss 0.338
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table home - 71.3% fact: home hit / Brier 0.124 / LogLoss 0.338
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table home - 71.3% fact: home hit / Brier 0.124 / LogLoss 0.338
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table home - 71.3% fact: home hit / Brier 0.124 / LogLoss 0.338
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Aktobe (w) - 71.3% model pick
Draw - 16.0% draw risk
Irtysh Pavlodar (Zh) - 12.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 71.3% / 16.0% / 12.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 2,090 / 1,607 Aktobe (w) / Irtysh Pavlodar (Zh)
RD 200 / 196 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,691-2,490 / 1,215-2,000 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 5 1.94 51.6%
Under 5 1.77 56.5%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.95 51.3%
1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 10 1.89 52.9%
Under 10 1.78 56.2%
Match center
Aktobe (w)
W W W W W
20.07 12:00 UTC Kazakhstan: League Women Standings
Aktobe (w) 12:0 Tobyl (Zh)Tobyl (Zh)
14.07 11:00 UTC Kazakhstan: League Women Standings
Aktobe (w) 4:1 Kyzylzhar (Zh)Kyzylzhar (Zh)
10.07 04:00 UTC Kazakhstan: League Women Standings
Aktobe (w) 6:0 Elimay (Zh)Elimay (Zh)
05.07 10:00 UTC Kazakhstan: League Women Standings
Aktobe (w) 7:0 Altay (Zh)Altay (Zh)
10.06 09:00 UTC Kazakhstan: League Women Standings
Aktobe (w) 13:0 Tobyl (Zh)Tobyl (Zh)
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
8.4 Scored
0.2 Conceded
15 Points
Irtysh Pavlodar (Zh)
W D L W
20.07 10:00 UTC Kazakhstan: League Women Standings
Irtysh Pavlodar (Zh) 2:0 Okzhetpes (Zh)Okzhetpes (Zh)
14.07 12:00 UTC Kazakhstan: League Women Standings
Irtysh Pavlodar (Zh) 2:2 Astana (Zh)Astana (Zh)
06.07 04:00 UTC Kazakhstan: League Women Standings
Irtysh Pavlodar (Zh) 1:3 Elimay (Zh)Elimay (Zh)
09.06 10:00 UTC Kazakhstan: League Women Standings
Irtysh Pavlodar (Zh) 3:0 Okzhetpes (Zh)Okzhetpes (Zh)
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
7 Points