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Kazakhstan. Women. Premier League
Kazakhstan. Women. Premier League
28.07.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Kazakhstan. Women. Premier League

Astana (w) - Kyzyl-Zhar (w)

Football
Astana (w)
Astana (w)
0 : 6
Finished
Kyzyl-Zhar (w)
Kyzyl-Zhar (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Kyzyl-Zhar (w) — 66%

1 · Astana (w)20.0%
market14%
X · draw14.5%
market20%
2 · Kyzyl-Zhar (w) ✓ Pick65.5%
market67%

Model estimate: win Astana (w) 20.0%, draw 14.5%, win Kyzyl-Zhar (w) 65.5%. Model favourite — Kyzyl-Zhar (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Kyzyl-Zhar (w) (odds1.28) Score 0:2 confidence 66% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Kyzylzhar (Zh): probability 66% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • • no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 0:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Astana (w) - Kyzyl-Zhar (w) July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kyzyl-Zhar (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Kyzyl-Zhar (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.30 / X 3.70 / 2 1.09
  • Glicko: Astana (w) 20.0% / X 14.5% / Kyzyl-Zhar (w) 65.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 37.6%
1 13.7%
X 19.6%
2 ✓ Pick 66.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Astana (w) 1 : 4 Kyzyl-Zhar (w)
17.10
X5.47
21.27

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Astana (w) - Kyzyl-Zhar (w)

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:6
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Astana (w) 12.6% 20.0%
Draw 16.5% 14.5% draw risk
Kyzyl-Zhar (w) 70.9% 65.5% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 20.0% / 14.5% / 65.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,233 / 1,709 Astana (w) / Kyzyl-Zhar (w)
RD 208 / 195 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 817-1,649 / 1,319-2,100 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 65.5%
X 3.70 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 5.30 Fonbet · no value · model 20.0%
Double chance
12 1.23 Fonbet · value +5.2% · model 85.5%
1X 6.10 Fonbet · no value · model 34.5%
X2 1.12 Fonbet · no value · model 80.0%
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.23 81.3%
1x 6.10 16.4%
x2 1.12 89.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
6.00 16.7%
X 3.10 32.3%
1.61 62.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.66 60.2%
Under 1.5 2.10 47.6%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.30 43.5%
2.20 45.5%
2.10 47.6%
2.02 49.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.32 75.8%
1.55 64.5%
1.60 62.5%
1.65 60.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.90 52.6%
3.05 32.8%
Match center
Astana (w)
L D L W
21.07 10:00 UTC Kazakhstan: League Women Standings
Astana (w) 0:2 Shakhter Karaganda (Zh)Shakhter Karaganda (Zh)
14.07 12:00 UTC Kazakhstan: League Women Standings
Astana (w) 2:2 Irtysh Pavlodar (Zh)Irtysh Pavlodar (Zh)
05.07 09:00 UTC Kazakhstan: League Women Standings
Astana (w) 1:4 Okzhetpes (Zh)Okzhetpes (Zh)
08.06 12:00 UTC Kazakhstan: League Women Standings
Astana (w) 4:0 Shakhter Karaganda (Zh)Shakhter Karaganda (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Kyzyl-Zhar (w)
W L W L
20.07 11:00 UTC Kazakhstan: League Women Standings
Kyzyl-Zhar (w) 4:0 Elimay (Zh)Elimay (Zh)
14.07 11:00 UTC Kazakhstan: League Women Standings
Kyzyl-Zhar (w) 1:4 Aktobe (Zh)Aktobe (Zh)
05.07 10:00 UTC Kazakhstan: League Women Standings
Kyzyl-Zhar (w) 7:0 Shakhter Karaganda (Zh)Shakhter Karaganda (Zh)
09.06 10:00 UTC Kazakhstan: League Women Standings
Kyzyl-Zhar (w) 0:1 Elimay (Zh)Elimay (Zh)
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points