Kazakhstan. Women. Premier League
Kyzyl-Zhar (w) go head-to-head with Zhenis Astana (w) on August 4, 2026 in the Kazakhstan. Women. Premier League.
Recent form (W-D-L): Kyzyl-Zhar (w) 3-0-1, Zhenis Astana (w) 4-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 31% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Zhenis Astana (w) — 47%
Pure model vs market (2 · Zhenis Astana (w)): model 42% · market 47% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Kyzyl-Zhar (w) 30.9%, draw 22.2%, win Zhenis Astana (w) 47.0%. Model favourite — Zhenis Astana (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kyzyl-Zhar (w).
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.04 96.2% |
| 1x | 1.71 58.5% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% | 10.00 10.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.19 31.4% | |
| X | 2.70 37.0% |
| 2.35 42.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.10 90.9% | |
| — | — | 1.05 95.2% | |
| — | — | 1.35 74.1% | |
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| — | — | 4.50 22.2% | |
| — | — | 13.00 7.7% | |
| 2.35 42.6% | 2.37 42.2% | — | |
| — | — | 4.30 23.3% | |
| — | — | 5.90 17.0% | |
| — | — | 7.70 13.0% | |
| — | — | 2.95 33.9% | |
| — | — | 13.00 7.7% | |
| — | — | 1.16 86.2% | |
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.50 66.7% | 1.52 65.8% | 10.50 9.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | 1.11 90.1% |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | 1.27 78.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 5.5 | — | — | 7.80 12.8% |
| Over 6.5 | — | — | 12.00 8.3% |
| Under 0.5 | — | — | 6.30 15.9% |
| Under 1.5 | — | — | 5.50 18.2% |
| Under 2.5 | — | — | 3.45 29.0% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 3.00 33.3% |
| Under 4.5 | — | — | 2.45 40.8% |
| Under 5.5 | — | — | 1.05 95.2% |
| Under 6.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
Kyzyl-Zhar (w)
Astana (Zh)
Elimay (Zh)
Aktobe (Zh)
Shakhter Karaganda (Zh)
Zhenis Astana (w)
Elimay (Zh)
Altay (Zh)
Shakhter Karaganda (Zh)
Tobyl (Zh)
Full head-to-head historyKyzyl-Zhar (w) - Zhenis Astana (w)
The Kyzyl-Zhar (w) - Zhenis Astana (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
