Match center
Start
29.07.2026 13:00 UTC
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29.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished
Kazakhstan: OLIMPBET - Cup Kazakhstana
Kaisar - Zhenys
5
:
4
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Kaisar — 39%
Pure model vs market (1 · Kaisar): model 41% · market 39% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Kaisar 38.6%, draw 30.3%, win Zhenys 31.1%. Model favourite — Kaisar.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Kaisar (odds2.40)
Score 1:0
confidence 50%
✓ outcome correct
- • Model backs Kaysar: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.40)
- • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Kaisar - Zhenys July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kaisar.
Line favourite market consensus: Kaisar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.40 / X 3.00 / 2 3.01
- Glicko: Kaisar 38.6% / X 30.3% / Zhenys 31.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.2%
1
38.5%
X
30.8%
2
30.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Kaisar
1
:
1
Zhenys
12.36
X2.93
22.99
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Kaisar - Zhenys
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
5:4
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 38.6% fact: home
hit / ROI 140.0% / Brier 0.566 / LogLoss 0.952
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 38.6% fact: home
hit / ROI 140.0% / Brier 0.566 / LogLoss 0.952
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Kaisar
38.5%
38.6%
market and model agree
Draw
30.8%
30.3%
draw risk
Zhenys
30.8%
31.1%
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
38.6% / 30.3% / 31.1%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,432 / 1,491
Kaisar / Zhenys
RD
169 / 168
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,093-1,770 / 1,156-1,827
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.00
market consensus · no value · model 31.1%
X
2.98
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.38
market consensus · no value · model 38.6%
Double chance
12
1.33
market consensus · no value · model 69.7%
1X
1.33
market consensus · no value · model 68.9%
X2
1.50
market consensus · no value · model 61.4%
Handicap
2 0
2.07
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.68
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.13
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.64
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.84
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.87
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.84 54.4% |
| yes | 1.87 53.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.32 75.8% | 1.34 74.6% |
| 1x | 1.32 75.8% | 1.34 74.6% |
| x2 | 1.48 67.6% | 1.51 66.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.11 32.2% | |
| X | 1.89 52.9% |
| 3.85 26.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.15 46.5% |
| Under 1 | 1.62 61.7% |
Match center
Kaisar
D
D
L
D
W
Kaisar
1:1
Elimay
Elimay
Kaisar
1:1
Kaspiy Aktau
Kaspiy Aktau
Kaisar
0:1
Ulytau
Ulytau
Kaisar
0:0
Irtysh Pavlodar
Irtysh Pavlodar
Kaisar
2:1
Kaspiy Aktau
Kaspiy Aktau
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
0.8
Scored
0.8
Conceded
6
Points
Zhenys
L
D
W
L
L
Zhenys
2:3
Kaspiy Aktau
Kaspiy Aktau
Zhenys
1:1
Ulytau
Ulytau
Zhenys
1:0
Irtysh Pavlodar
Irtysh Pavlodar
Zhenys
0:1
Astana
Astana
Zhenys
1:2
Ulytau
Ulytau
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.4
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyKaisar - Zhenys
Kaisar
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form