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King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
22.09.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Abha - Al Shabab

Saudi-Arabia Football
Abha
Abha
1 : 1
Finished
Al Shabab
Al Shabab

Abha face Al Shabab on September 22, 2025 in the King's Cup, Saudi-Arabia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Abha 0-1-0, Al Shabab 3-0-1. The market favourite is Al Shabab at roughly 61%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Abha - Al Shabab September 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al Shabab.

Line favourite market consensus: Al Shabab. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.30 / X 4.15 / 2 1.49
  • 1X2 market: Abha 17.2% / X 21.9% / Al Shabab 60.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9% 11 books · best price +2.7%
1 17.1%
X 21.7%
2 61.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.9%
Over 2.5 58.4%
Under 2.5 41.6%

Odds source: consensus of 11 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Betano, Marathonbet, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.09.2025 18:00 UTC
Market 1 17.1% @ 5.30 / X 21.9% @ 4.15 / 2 61.0% @ 1.49
Match center

Abha - Al Shabab

Form 1/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.49 market consensus · line only
X 4.16 market consensus · line only
1 5.31 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.12 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 2.43 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.04 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.39 18.6%
X 4.24 23.6%
1.50 66.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
5.25 19.1% 5.53 18.1% 5.25 19.1% 5.50 18.2% 5.35 18.7% 5.39 18.6%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.20 23.8% 4.24 23.6%
1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.50 66.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet Unibet William Hill
no 2.00 50.0% 2.06 48.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.03 49.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.14 46.7% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.11 90.1% 1.08 92.6% 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.08 92.6% 1.15 87.0%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.21 82.6% 1.15 87.0% 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 2.45 40.8% 2.36 42.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.36 42.4% 2.54 39.4%
Match center
Abha
D
25.09 15:40 UTC King's Cup
Abha 1:1 Al Taawon
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Al Shabab
L W W W
01.04 18:00 UTC King's Cup
Al Shabab 2:3 Al-Ittihad FC
06.01 15:00 UTC King's Cup
Al Shabab 2:1 Al-Fayha
28.10 14:50 UTC King's Cup
Al Shabab 2:0 Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
24.09 18:00 UTC King's Cup
Al Shabab 3:1 Al KholoodAl Kholood
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAbha - Al Shabab

Abha
0 matches total
Al Shabab
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history