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King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
22.09.2025 18:30 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Al-Adalah - Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Saudi-Arabia Football
Al-Adalah
Al-Adalah
0 : 1
Finished
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Al-Adalah go head-to-head with Al-Hilal Saudi FC on September 22, 2025 in the King's Cup, Saudi-Arabia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Al-Adalah 0-0-1, Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2-1-0. The bookmaker line makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC the favourite at about 75%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al-Adalah - Al-Hilal Saudi FC September 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al-Hilal Saudi FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Al-Hilal Saudi FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 9.53 / X 6.02 / 2 1.21
  • 1X2 market: Al-Adalah 9.7% / X 15.1% / Al-Hilal Saudi FC 75.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 69.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2% 11 books
1 9.7%
X 14.9%
2 75.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.7%
Over 2.5 69.3%
Under 2.5 30.7%

Odds source: consensus of 11 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Betano, Betfair, Marathonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.09.2025 18:30 UTC
Market 1 9.6% @ 9.53 / X 15.1% @ 6.02 / 2 75.3% @ 1.21
Match center

Al-Adalah - Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.21 market consensus · line only
X 6.02 market consensus · line only
1 8.82 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.03 market consensus · line only
12 1.09 market consensus · line only
1X 3.88 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.04 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.32 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 8.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.02 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.93 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
8.96 11.2%
X 6.04 16.6%
1.19 84.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
9.50 10.5% 8.35 12.0% 11.00 9.1% 10.25 9.8% 11.00 9.1% 8.10 12.4%
X 6.00 16.7% 6.25 16.0% 5.50 18.2% 6.10 16.4% 6.00 16.7% 6.25 16.0%
1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.15 87.0% 1.21 82.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet William Hill
no 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.06 94.3% 1.01 99.0% 1.04 96.2%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.05 95.2% 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.05 95.2% 1.09 91.7%
home_draw 3.80 26.3% 3.54 28.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.30 23.3% 3.54 28.3% 4.03 24.8%
Match center
Al-Adalah
L
23.09 18:00 UTC King's Cup
Al-Adalah 0:2 Al-Ettifaq
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
D W W
07.01 17:30 UTC King's Cup
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1:1 Al-Ittihad FC
29.10 15:05 UTC King's Cup
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 4:1 Al Taee
24.09 15:35 UTC King's Cup
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1:0 Al Bukayriyah
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.7 Conceded
7 Points