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King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
29.11.2025 14:40 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Al-Hilal Saudi FC - Al-Fateh

Saudi-Arabia Football
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4 : 1
Finished
Al-Fateh
Al-Fateh

Al-Hilal Saudi FC face Al-Fateh on November 29, 2025 in the King's Cup, Saudi-Arabia.

The bookmaker line makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC the favourite, pricing their chances near 76%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown of the match.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al-Hilal Saudi FC - Al-Fateh November 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al-Hilal Saudi FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Al-Hilal Saudi FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.20 / X 6.61 / 2 9.44
  • 1X2 market: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 76.3% / X 13.9% / Al-Fateh 9.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 74.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 76.4%
X 13.9%
2 9.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.7%
Over 2.5 74.8%
Under 2.5 25.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.11.2025 14:40 UTC
Market 1 76.4% @ 1.20 / X 13.9% @ 6.61 / 2 9.7% @ 9.44
Match center

Al-Hilal Saudi FC - Al-Fateh

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.68 market consensus · line only
1 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 9.07 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.00 market consensus · line only
12 1.08 market consensus · line only
1X 1.05 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.90 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.32 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.69 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.27 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.20 83.3%
X 7.56 13.2%
10.17 9.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.15 87.0%
X 6.20 16.1% 6.20 16.1% 6.30 15.9% 6.50 15.4% 6.80 14.7% 6.50 15.4%
10.25 9.8% 8.10 12.4% 10.10 9.9% 8.00 12.5% 9.75 10.3% 10.00 10.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 2.20 45.5% 2.39 41.8% 2.29 43.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.24 44.6% 2.35 42.6%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.54 64.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.64 61.0% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO
draw_away 3.85 26.0% 3.60 27.8% 4.15 24.1% 3.85 26.0% 4.61 21.7% 3.65 27.4%
home_away 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.05 95.2% 1.09 91.7% 1.04 96.2%
home_draw 1.02 98.0% 1.05 95.2% 1.08 92.6% 1.00 100.0% 1.06 94.3% 1.00 100.0%
Match center
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
W W D W W
28.10 15:10 UTC King's Cup
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1:0 Al OkhdoodAl Okhdood
22.09 18:30 UTC King's Cup
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1:0 Al-Adalah
07.01 17:30 UTC King's Cup
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1:1 Al-Ittihad FC
29.10 15:05 UTC King's Cup
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 4:1 Al Taee
24.09 15:35 UTC King's Cup
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1:0 Al Bukayriyah
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
Al-Fateh
W W
27.10 14:35 UTC King's Cup
Al-Fateh 2:0 Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
24.09 15:45 UTC King's Cup
Al-Fateh 2:1 Al Jabalain
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points