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King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
29.11.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Al-Ittihad FC - Al Shabab

Saudi-Arabia Football
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Ittihad FC
4 : 1
Finished
Al Shabab
Al Shabab

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al-Ittihad FC - Al Shabab November 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al-Ittihad FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Al-Ittihad FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / X 4.02 / 2 4.84
  • 1X2 market: Al-Ittihad FC 58.6% / X 22.6% / Al Shabab 18.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 58.6%
X 22.6%
2 18.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.0%
Over 2.5 60.9%
Under 2.5 39.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.11.2025 17:30 UTC
Market 1 58.6% @ 1.55 / X 22.6% @ 4.02 / 2 18.8% @ 4.84
Match center

Al-Ittihad FC - Al Shabab

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.83 market consensus · line only
X 4.02 market consensus · line only
1 1.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.40 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.84 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.00 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.85 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.37 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.22 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.53 65.4%
X 4.00 25.0%
4.75 21.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.54 64.9% 1.58 63.3% 1.54 64.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.15 24.1% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.40 22.7% 4.00 25.0%
5.20 19.2% 4.40 22.7% 5.00 20.0% 4.75 21.1% 5.10 19.6% 5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 2.25 44.4% 2.22 45.1% 2.23 44.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.19 45.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.64 61.0% 1.57 63.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet SBO
draw_away 2.38 42.0% 2.22 45.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.42 41.3% 2.22 45.1% 2.18 45.9%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5% 1.21 82.6% 1.16 86.2% 1.15 87.0%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.19 84.0% 1.10 90.9% 1.09 91.7%
Match center
Al-Ittihad FC
W W W W D
28.10 18:00 UTC King's Cup
Al-Ittihad FC 2:1 Al-Nassr
23.09 18:30 UTC King's Cup
Al-Ittihad FC 1:0 Al Wehda Club
30.05 18:00 UTC King's Cup
Al-Ittihad FC 3:1 Al-Qadisiyah FC
01.04 18:00 UTC King's Cup
Al-Ittihad FC 3:2 Al ShababAl Shabab
07.01 17:30 UTC King's Cup
Al-Ittihad FC 1:1 Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
13 Points
Al Shabab
W D L W W
28.10 14:50 UTC King's Cup
Al Shabab 1:0 Al Zulfi
22.09 18:00 UTC King's Cup
Al Shabab 1:1 Abha
01.04 18:00 UTC King's Cup
Al Shabab 2:3 Al-Ittihad FC
06.01 15:00 UTC King's Cup
Al Shabab 2:1 Al-Fayha
28.10 14:50 UTC King's Cup
Al Shabab 2:0 Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAl-Ittihad FC - Al Shabab

Al-Ittihad FC
1 matches total
Al Shabab
Al-Ittihad FC: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Al Shabab: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Al-Ittihad FC 3:2 (01.04 18:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 01.04 18:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

01.04 18:00 UTC King's Cup
Al-Ittihad FC
3:2
Al Shabab