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King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
28.10.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Al-Nassr - Al-Ittihad FC

Saudi-Arabia Football
Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr
1 : 2
Finished
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Ittihad FC

Al-Nassr face Al-Ittihad FC on October 28, 2025 in the King's Cup, Saudi-Arabia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Al-Nassr 2-0-1, Al-Ittihad FC 4-1-0. The bookmaker line makes Al-Nassr the favourite at about 65%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al-Nassr - Al-Ittihad FC October 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al-Nassr.

Line favourite market consensus: Al-Nassr. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.42 / X 4.78 / 2 5.71
  • 1X2 market: Al-Nassr 64.7% / X 19.2% / Al-Ittihad FC 16.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 68.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 64.7%
X 19.2%
2 16.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.4%
Over 2.5 68.4%
Under 2.5 31.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.10.2025 18:00 UTC
Market 1 64.7% @ 1.42 / X 19.2% @ 4.78 / 2 16.1% @ 5.71
Match center

Al-Nassr - Al-Ittihad FC

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.70 market consensus · line only
X 4.79 market consensus · line only
1 1.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.65 market consensus · line only
12 1.15 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.73 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.20 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.50 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.55 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.95 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.41 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.50 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.43 69.9%
X 4.89 20.5%
5.65 17.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.42 70.4%
X 4.75 21.1% 4.70 21.3% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 4.70 21.3%
6.00 16.7% 5.92 16.9% 5.75 17.4% 5.80 17.2% 6.00 16.7% 5.85 17.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet Unibet
no 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.38 42.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.39 41.8% 2.42 41.3% 2.32 43.1%
yes 1.45 69.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.48 67.6% 1.56 64.1% 1.52 65.8% 1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 2.75 36.4% 2.62 38.2% 2.60 38.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.62 38.2% 2.78 36.0%
home_away 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 1.10 90.9% 1.16 86.2% 1.09 91.7% 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Al-Nassr
W L W
23.09 18:30 UTC King's Cup
Al-Nassr 4:0 Jeddah Club
29.10 17:30 UTC King's Cup
Al-Nassr 0:1 Al Taawon
23.09 15:35 UTC King's Cup
Al-Nassr 2:1 Al-Hazm
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.7 Conceded
6 Points
Al-Ittihad FC
W W W D W
23.09 18:30 UTC King's Cup
Al-Ittihad FC 1:0 Al Wehda Club
30.05 18:00 UTC King's Cup
Al-Ittihad FC 3:1 Al-Qadisiyah FC
01.04 18:00 UTC King's Cup
Al-Ittihad FC 3:2 Al ShababAl Shabab
07.01 17:30 UTC King's Cup
Al-Ittihad FC 1:1 Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
28.10 17:30 UTC King's Cup
Al-Ittihad FC 2:0 Al Jandal
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAl-Nassr - Al-Ittihad FC

Al-Nassr
0 matches total
Al-Ittihad FC
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history