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Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
03.08.2026 22:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
03.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Finished

Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings

Leones - Deportes Quindio

Football
L
Leones
1 : 1
Finished
D
Deportes Quindio

Leones face Deportes Quindio on August 3, 2026 in the Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Leones 2-2-1, Deportes Quindio 1-0-4. The market favourite is Deportes Quindio at roughly 37%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 31% to win — broadly in line with the market. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Deportes Quindio — 36%

Pure model vs market (2 · Deportes Quindio): model 33% · market 37% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Leones31.3%
X · draw32.2%
2 · Deportes Quindio36.5%

Model estimate: win Leones 31.3%, draw 32.2%, win Deportes Quindio 36.5%. Model favourite — Deportes Quindio.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Leones (odds3.10) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Leones: probability 50% vs 32% on the line (odds 3.10)
  • • edge over the line +18 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leones - Deportes Quindio August 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportes Quindio.

Strongest: Deportes Quindio - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.00 / X 2.80 / 2 2.44
  • 1X2 market: Leones 30.3% / X 32.5% / Deportes Quindio 37.2%
  • Glicko: Leones 31.3% / X 32.2% / Deportes Quindio 36.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9% 17 books · best price +206.5%
1 30.5%
X 32.8%
2 36.7%

Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 3.55 ↑ 9.00
1X2 X 2.85 ↓ 1.17
1X2 2 2.17 ↑ 7.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B
League table
Leones
#1413 ptsGP 163-4-99:24
Deportes Quindio
#541 ptsGP 2212-5-524:14
Best price across 14 books
1 3.30 Bet365
X 2.90 Dafabet
2 2.54 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Leones
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 0.40 Conceded 1.29 xG 0.90 xGA 1.44
Deportes Quindio
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 0.80 Conceded 0.70 xG 1.29 xGA 1.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Leones
Rating 1350 xG 0.96 Win 29%
Deportes Quindio
Rating 1564 xG 1.19 Win 41%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Leones 1 : 1 Deportes Quindio
13.03
X2.75
22.47

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 23:51 UTC
1 28%
X 36% ✓ favourite
2 36%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:X2
Per AI data H2H: 0-3
Claude updated03.08.2026 23:54 UTC
1 30%
X 33%
2 37% ✓ favourite
Score0:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5 (62%, pereves +5.5 p.p. k rynku); strakhovka — X2

AI consensus:2

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 28% 36% 36% 1:1 Under 2.5 No X2
Claude 30% 33% 37% 0:1 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5 (62%, pereves +5.5 p.p. k rynku); strakhovka — X2

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Market 1 30.3% @ 3.00 / X 32.5% @ 2.80 / 2 37.2% @ 2.44
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Deportes Quindio 37%
📐 Math model Deportes Quindio 36%
💹 Market Deportes Quindio 3721%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Leones - Deportes Quindio

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Leones 30.5% 31.3%
Draw 32.8% 32.2% draw risk
Deportes Quindio 36.7% 36.5% market and model agree
xG - 0.96 : 1.19
1X2: 17 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 31.3% / 32.2% / 36.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,555 / 1,558 Leones / Deportes Quindio
RD 255 / 250 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,046-2,065 / 1,057-2,058 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.60 Fonbet · no value · model 36.5%
X 1.17 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 31.3%
Double chance
12 4.15 Fonbet · weak value +181.3% · model 67.8%
1X 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 63.5%
X2 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 68.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 6.90 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
3.00 33.3% 3.03 33.0% 3.30 30.3% 3.00 33.3% 2.80 35.7% 3.00 33.3%
X 2.88 34.7% 2.74 36.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.80 35.7%
2.38 42.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.43 69.9% 1.58 63.3%
yes 2.60 38.5% 2.24 44.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.35 74.1% 1.39 71.9% 4.15 24.1%
1x 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.06 94.3%
x2 1.32 75.8% 1.36 73.5% 1.05 95.2%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 6.00 16.7%
0_1 5.00 20.0%
0_2 8.50 11.8%
0_3 21.00 4.8%
0_4 56.00 1.8%
0_5 126.00 0.8%
1_0 6.00 16.7%
1_1 5.00 20.0%
1_2 8.50 11.8%
1_3 21.00 4.8%
1_4 56.00 1.8%
1_5 126.00 0.8%
2_0 11.00 9.1%
2_1 10.00 10.0%
2_2 15.00 6.7%
2_3 34.00 2.9%
2_4 91.00 1.1%
3_0 31.00 3.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-1-3, avg 3.6 gls
2026-02-01 · Leones 0:3 Kindio
2025-09-15 · Leones 0:2 Kindio
2025-04-06 · Leones 4:1 Kindio
2024-10-22 · Leones 0:4 Kindio
2024-05-12 · Leones 2:2 Kindio
Source: ruscore
Leones
W D D W L
2026-07-24 Torneo DIMAYOR 2026, Clausura
Leones Tigres Bogota 0:1 Leones
2026-05-29 Copa DIMAYOR 2026, Group C
Leones Leones 1:1 Independiente Medellin
2026-05-16 Copa DIMAYOR 2026, Group C
Leones Cucuta Deportivo 0:0 Leones
2026-05-12 Copa DIMAYOR 2026, Group C
Leones Leones 2:0 Orsomarso
2026-05-08 Copa DIMAYOR 2026, Group C
Leones Fortaleza Zipaquira 4:1 Leones
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Deportes Quindio
W L L L L
2026-07-28 Copa DIMAYOR 2026, Knockout Stage
Deportes Quindio 2:1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Quindio
2026-07-24 Torneo DIMAYOR 2026, Clausura
Deportes Quindio 0:1 Boca Juniors de Cali Deportes Quindio
2026-07-21 Copa DIMAYOR 2026, Knockout Stage
Deportes Tolima 2:1 Deportes Quindio Deportes Quindio
2026-05-18 Torneo DIMAYOR 2026, Apertura, Group A
Envigado 1:0 Deportes Quindio Deportes Quindio
2026-05-15 Torneo DIMAYOR 2026, Apertura, Group A
Deportes Quindio 0:1 Internacional Palmira Deportes Quindio
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeones - Deportes Quindio

Leones
0 matches total
Deportes Quindio
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history