Who is the favourite in Al Jazira vs Yarmouk?

By the PropickAI model, Yarmouk is favoured — about 43% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Al Jazira vs Yarmouk?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Yarmouk. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick Yarmouk win probability ~43% confidence Low best odds 2.20

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Yarmouk. Full breakdown below.

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Kuwait. Division 1

17.08.2026 17:15 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

17.08.2026 17:15 UTC

Finished

Kuwait. Division 1

Al Jazira - Yarmouk

Football

Al Jazira

2 : 0

Finished

Yarmouk

Al Jazira take on Yarmouk on August 17, 2026 in the Kuwait. Division 1.

Recent form (W-D-L): Al Jazira 3-1-1, Yarmouk 2-3-0. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 30% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Yarmouk — 43%

1 · Al Jazira29.7%

X · draw27.5%

2 · Yarmouk42.8%

Model estimate: win Al Jazira 29.7%, draw 27.5%, win Yarmouk 42.8%. Model favourite — Yarmouk.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Al Jazira (odds3.56) Score 2:1 confidence 55% ✓ outcome correct

• Model backs Al-Jazira: probability 55% vs 28% on the line (odds 3.56)
• edge over the line +27 pp — value pick
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al Jazira - Yarmouk August 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Yarmouk.

Line favourite market consensus: Yarmouk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.40 / X 4.00 / 2 2.20
Glicko: Al Jazira 29.7% / X 27.5% / Yarmouk 42.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0% 5 books · best price +5.8%

1 28.5%

X 27.8%

2 43.7%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Division 1

League table

Al Jazira

#438 ptsGP 2011-5-441:23

Yarmouk

#340 ptsGP 2012-4-439:18

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Al Jazira

W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 2.11 Conceded 1.09 xG 1.16 xGA 1.67

Yarmouk

W-D-L 5-4-1 Scored 1.69 Conceded 0.99 xG 1.51 xGA 1.17

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Al Jazira

Rating 1579

Yarmouk

Rating 1629

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Al Jazira

26%

4.40

Draw

26%

4.00

Yarmouk

47%

2.20

Handicap

Al Jazira (-0.5)

58%

1.20

Yarmouk (-0.5)

42%

1.63

Total

Over 9.5

52%

1.76

Under 9.5

48%

1.91

Both teams to score

Yes

35%

6.25

65%

2.16

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Al Jazira 2 : 2 Yarmouk

13.25

X3.18

22.09

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated17.08.2026 17:40 UTC

1 30%

X 28%

2 42% ✓ favourite

Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:X2

Per AI data H2H: 3-3

AI	1	X	2	Score	Total goals	BTTS	Bet
Google AI	30%	28%	42%	1:1	Under 2.5	Yes	X2

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center

Start 17.08.2026 17:15 UTC

Market 1 24.4% @ 4.40 / X 26.8% @ 4.00 / 2 48.8% @ 2.20

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Yarmouk 42%

📐 Math model Yarmouk 43%

💹 Market Yarmouk 44%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Al Jazira - Yarmouk

Al Jazira: win Al Jazira: draw Yarmouk win: Obschiy Total goals Over : Obschiy Total goals Under : Individualnyy Total goals Al Jazira Over : Individualnyy Total goals Al Jazira Under : Individualnyy Total goals Yarmouk Over : Individualnyy Total goals Yarmouk men…

Form 5/5 recent games

Market 3 model / bookmakers

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 42.8% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.754 / LogLoss 1.215

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 42.8% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.754 / LogLoss 1.215

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Al Jazira 28.5% 29.7%

Draw 27.8% 27.5% draw risk

Yarmouk 43.7% 42.8% market and model agree

1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 29.7% / 27.5% / 42.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,657 / 1,563 Al-Jazira / Al Yarmouk Mishref

RD 172 / 169 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,313-2,001 / 1,226-1,901 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.97 market consensus · no value · model 42.8%

X 3.53 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 3.60 market consensus · no value · model 29.7%

Double chance

12 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 72.5%

1X 1.59 market consensus · no value · model 57.2%

X2 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 70.3%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.63 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.15 market consensus · line only

2 0 1.59 market consensus · line only

2 0.5 3.98 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.04 market consensus · line only

Yes 4.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet	Leon
no	1.98 50.5%	1.98 50.5%	2.16 46.3%
yes	6.25 16.0%	6.25 16.0%	1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet
12	1.26 79.4%	1.30 76.9%	1.35 74.1%	1.35 74.1%
1x	1.54 64.9%	1.60 62.5%	1.61 62.1%	1.61 62.1%
x2	1.30 76.9%	1.34 74.6%	1.14 87.7%	1.14 87.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	3.92 25.5%
X	2.05 48.8%
	2.72 36.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.77 56.5%
Under 1	1.94 51.6%

Match center

Al Jazira

D L W W W

14.08 17:25 UTC KUVEYT: First Division Standings

Al Jazira 0:0 Al-Sakhel

10.08 17:25 UTC KUVEYT: First Division Standings

Al Jazira 0:1 Khaytan

06.08 17:45 UTC KUVEYT: First Division Standings

Al Jazira 4:0 Al Shamiya

02.08 18:45 UTC KUVEYT: First Division Standings

Al Jazira 3:0 Sporty

29.07 15:45 UTC KUVEYT: First Division Standings

Al Jazira 2:0 Burgan

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

0.2 Conceded

10 Points

Yarmouk

D W D D W

14.08 17:25 UTC KUVEYT: First Division Standings

Yarmouk 1:1 Al-Sulaybikhat

11.08 16:00 UTC KUVEYT: First Division Standings

Yarmouk 3:1 Burgan

07.08 17:45 UTC KUVEYT: First Division Standings

Yarmouk 0:0 Khaytan

01.08 17:45 UTC KUVEYT: First Division Standings

Yarmouk 0:0 Al Shamiya

29.07 15:45 UTC KUVEYT: First Division Standings

Yarmouk 2:1 Sporty

2 Wins

3 Draws

0 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.6 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Al Jazira - Yarmouk

Al Jazira

0 matches total

Yarmouk

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Al Jazira - Yarmouk

AI match prediction Al Jazira - Yarmouk August 17, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

AI outcome leader: 1

Forecast by market

Score prediction

AI predictions

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