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La Liga
La Liga Spain
22.11.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Alaves - Celta Vigo

Spain Football
Alaves
Alaves
0 : 1
Finished
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo

Alaves go head-to-head with Celta Vigo on November 22, 2025 in the La Liga, Spain.

Recent form (W-D-L): Alaves 2-1-2, Celta Vigo 2-2-1. The bookmaker line makes Alaves the favourite at about 36%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alaves - Celta Vigo November 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alaves.

Line favourite market consensus: Alaves. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.62 / X 3.06 / 2 2.92
  • 1X2 market: Alaves 36.3% / X 31.1% / Celta Vigo 32.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 36.3%
X 31.1%
2 32.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 41.1%
Under 2.5 58.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.11.2025 13:00 UTC
Market 1 36.3% @ 2.62 / X 31.1% @ 3.06 / 2 32.6% @ 2.92
Match center

Alaves - Celta Vigo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.92 market consensus · line only
X 3.06 market consensus · line only
1 2.63 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.51 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.42 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.87 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.34 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.71 36.9%
X 3.15 31.8%
2.93 34.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.60 38.5% 2.67 37.5% 2.69 37.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.65 37.7%
X 3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.18 31.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%
2.90 34.5% 2.88 34.7% 3.04 32.9% 2.90 34.5% 2.88 34.7% 2.90 34.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4%
Match center
Alaves
L W L D W
08.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 GironaGirona
02.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:1 EspanyolEspanyol
26.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
20.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:0 ValenciaValencia
05.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 3:1 ElcheElche
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Celta Vigo
L W W D D
09.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:4 BarselonaBarselona
02.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:1 LevanteLevante
26.10 17:30 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 3:2 OsasunaOsasuna
19.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
05.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAlaves - Celta Vigo

Alaves
0 matches total
Celta Vigo
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history