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La Liga
La Liga Spain
25.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Alaves - Real Betis

Spain Football
Alaves
Alaves
2 : 1
Finished
Real Betis
Real Betis

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alaves - Real Betis January 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Betis.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Betis. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.81 / X 2.97 / 2 2.80
  • 1X2 market: Alaves 33.9% / X 32.1% / Real Betis 34.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 33.9%
X 32.1%
2 34.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 38.5%
Under 2.5 61.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Alaves - Real Betis

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.81 market consensus · line only
X 2.97 market consensus · line only
1 2.81 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.45 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.75 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.48 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.77 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.86 35.0%
X 3.01 33.2%
2.89 34.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.85 35.1% 2.81 35.6% 2.91 34.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.82 35.5%
X 2.98 33.6% 3.00 33.3% 3.02 33.1% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.92 34.3%
2.66 37.6% 2.82 35.5% 2.94 34.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.85 35.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.81 55.3% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.81 55.3%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.01 49.8% 1.99 50.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.99 50.3% 2.08 48.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.47 68.0%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.44 69.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.44 69.4%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.46 68.5%
Match center
Alaves
L L D L L
18.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
10.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:3 VillarrealVillarreal
04.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:1 OviedoOviedo
20.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:3 OsasunaOsasuna
14.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Real Betis
W D L W D
17.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 2:0 VillarrealVillarreal
10.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:1 OviedoOviedo
04.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:5 Real MadridReal Madrid
21.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 4:0 GetafeGetafe
15.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 0:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAlaves - Real Betis

Alaves
1 matches total
Real Betis
Alaves: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Real Betis: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Real Betis 0:1 (22.08 19:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 22.08 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

22.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves
0:1
Real Betis