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La Liga
La Liga Spain
14.05.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
14.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Alaves - Valencia

Spain Football
Alaves
Alaves
1 : 0
Finished
Valencia
Valencia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alaves - Valencia May 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alaves.

Line favourite market consensus: Alaves. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.26 / X 2.99 / 2 4.00
  • 1X2 market: Alaves 43.1% / X 32.6% / Valencia 24.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 43.1%
X 32.6%
2 24.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Alaves - Valencia

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.00 market consensus · line only
X 2.99 market consensus · line only
1 2.26 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.71 market consensus · line only
12 1.42 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.26 44.3%
X 2.99 33.4%
4.00 25.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.71 58.5%
home_away 1.42 70.4%
home_draw 1.29 77.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 1.5 1.55 64.5%
Under 1.5 2.56 39.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.53 65.4%
2.62 38.2%
Match center
Alaves
L D W D L
11.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
03.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:0 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
23.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
20.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:1 SevillaSevilla
13.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
5 Points
Valencia
W W D D W
10.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 3:0 GetafeGetafe
03.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 3:2 Las PalmasLas Palmas
22.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 EspanyolEspanyol
19.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
11.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:0 SevillaSevilla
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAlaves - Valencia

Alaves
0 matches total
Valencia
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history