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La Liga
La Liga Spain
20.10.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
20.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Alaves - Valencia

Spain Football
Alaves
Alaves
0 : 0
Finished
Valencia
Valencia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alaves - Valencia October 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alaves.

Line favourite market consensus: Alaves. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.24 / X 3.14 / 2 3.58
  • 1X2 market: Alaves 42.8% / X 30.5% / Valencia 26.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 42.8%
X 30.5%
2 26.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 41.4%
Under 2.5 58.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Alaves - Valencia

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.59 market consensus · line only
X 3.14 market consensus · line only
1 2.24 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.68 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.50 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.77 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.23 44.8%
X 3.24 30.9%
3.70 27.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.22 45.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.24 30.9% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8%
3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.68 27.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.89 52.9%
yes 1.93 51.8% 1.94 51.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8%
Match center
Alaves
W L D L W
05.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 3:1 ElcheElche
27.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 MallorcaMallorca
24.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:1 GetafeGetafe
20.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:2 SevillaSevilla
13.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Valencia
L L D W L
04.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:2 GironaGirona
30.09 18:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:2 OviedoOviedo
23.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 2:2 EspanyolEspanyol
20.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 2:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
14.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:6 BarselonaBarselona
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAlaves - Valencia

Alaves
1 matches total
Valencia
Alaves: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Valencia: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Alaves 1:0 (14.05 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 14.05 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

14.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves
1:0
Valencia