Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
La Liga
La Liga Spain
07.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Athletic Club - Barcelona

Spain Football
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
0 : 1
Finished
Barcelona
Barcelona

Athletic Club meet Barcelona on March 7, 2026 in the La Liga, Spain.

Recent form (W-D-L): Athletic Club 3-2-0, Barcelona 4-0-1. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Barcelona at roughly 57%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Barcelona March 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.56 / X 4.28 / 2 1.67
  • 1X2 market: Athletic Club 20.9% / X 22.2% / Barcelona 56.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 20.9%
X 22.2%
2 56.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 63.2%
Under 2.5 36.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 07.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Market 1 20.9% @ 4.56 / X 22.2% @ 4.28 / 2 56.9% @ 1.67
Match center

Athletic Club - Barcelona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.67 market consensus · line only
X 4.29 market consensus · line only
1 4.57 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 2.22 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.56 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.41 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.65 21.5%
X 4.45 22.5%
1.68 59.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.45 22.5% 4.70 21.3% 4.76 21.0% 4.33 23.1% 4.33 23.1% 4.65 21.5%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.45 22.5% 4.57 21.9% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2%
1.65 60.6% 1.66 60.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.45 40.8% 2.55 39.2% 2.33 42.9% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.37 42.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.53 39.5%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.14 87.7%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 2.15 46.5% 2.28 43.9% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.10 47.6%
Match center
Athletic Club
D W W W D
28.02 13:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
20.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:1 ElcheElche
15.02 13:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:1 OviedoOviedo
08.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 4:2 LevanteLevante
01.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
11 Points
Barcelona
W W L W W
28.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 4:1 VillarrealVillarreal
22.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 LevanteLevante
16.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:2 GironaGirona
07.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 MallorcaMallorca
31.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:1 ElcheElche
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAthletic Club - Barcelona

Athletic Club
2 matches total
Barcelona
Athletic Club: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Barcelona: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Barselona 0:4 (22.11 15:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 22.11 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 7
7 Goals conceded 0

Match history

22.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club
0:4
Barselona
25.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club
0:3
Barselona