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La Liga Spain

04.10.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction

04.10.2025 16:30 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Athletic Club - Mallorca

Spain Football

Athletic Club

2 : 1

Finished

Mallorca

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Mallorca October 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.63 / X 3.66 / 2 6.17
1X2 market: Athletic Club 58.5% / X 26.0% / Mallorca 15.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 58.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%

1 58.5%

X 26.1%

2 15.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%

Over 2.5 41.8%

Under 2.5 58.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 04.10.2025 16:30 UTC

Match center

Athletic Club - Mallorca

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.19 market consensus · line only

X 3.67 market consensus · line only

1 1.63 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.31 market consensus · line only

12 1.28 market consensus · line only

1X 1.13 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.35 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.75 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.73 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.28 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.63 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.21 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.64 61.0%
X	3.73 26.8%
	6.46 15.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.61 62.1%	1.63 61.4%	1.68 59.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.65 60.6%
X	3.65 27.4%	3.65 27.4%	3.78 26.5%	3.50 28.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.80 26.3%
	6.00 16.7%	6.40 15.6%	6.38 15.7%	5.75 17.4%	6.00 16.7%	6.30 15.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.60 62.5%	1.71 58.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.65 60.6%
yes	2.20 45.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.19 45.7%	2.10 47.6%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.19 45.7%	2.34 42.7%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.25 44.4%	2.32 43.1%	2.25 44.4%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.33 42.9%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.31 76.3%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.27 78.7%	1.31 76.3%
home_draw	1.12 89.3%	1.15 87.0%	1.13 88.5%	1.12 89.3%	1.15 87.0%	1.14 87.7%

Match center

Athletic Club

L D L L W

27.09 19:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 0:1 Villarreal

23.09 17:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 1:1 Girona

20.09 19:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 0:2 Valencia

13.09 16:30 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 0:1 Alaves

31.08 17:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 2:1 Real Betis

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.2 Conceded

4 Points

Mallorca

W L D L L

27.09 16:30 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 1:0 Alaves

24.09 19:30 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 0:1 Real Sociedad

21.09 14:15 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 1:1 Atletiko Madrid

15.09 19:00 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 2:3 Espanyol

30.08 19:30 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 1:2 Real Madrid

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.4 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAthletic Club - Mallorca

Athletic Club

1 matches total

Mallorca

Athletic Club: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Mallorca: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (28.10 20:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

28.10 20:00 UTC

La Liga

Athletic Club

0:0

Mallorca