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La Liga
La Liga Spain
09.11.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Athletic Club - Oviedo

Spain Football
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
1 : 0
Finished
Oviedo
Oviedo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Oviedo November 9, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / X 3.76 / 2 7.28
  • 1X2 market: Athletic Club 61.5% / X 25.4% / Oviedo 13.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 61.5%
X 25.4%
2 13.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 42.1%
Under 2.5 57.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.11.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Athletic Club - Oviedo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.28 market consensus · line only
X 3.76 market consensus · line only
1 1.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.49 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.49 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.87 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.70 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.59 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.30 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.58 63.3%
X 3.82 26.2%
7.36 13.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.59 62.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.92 25.5% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6%
7.30 13.7% 7.00 14.3% 7.70 13.0% 7.00 14.3% 7.50 13.3% 7.10 14.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9% 1.58 63.3% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5%
yes 2.25 44.4% 2.37 42.2% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.45 40.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.45 40.8% 2.53 39.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.57 38.9%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.09 91.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Athletic Club
L L D W L
01.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
25.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:1 GetafeGetafe
19.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:0 ElcheElche
04.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
27.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:1 VillarrealVillarreal
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
4 Points
Oviedo
D D L L W
03.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:0 OsasunaOsasuna
25.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 3:3 GironaGirona
17.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 EspanyolEspanyol
04.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 LevanteLevante
30.09 18:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 2:1 ValenciaValencia
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAthletic Club - Oviedo

Athletic Club
0 matches total
Oviedo
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history