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La Liga Spain

22.03.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

22.03.2026 17:30 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Athletic Club - Real Betis

Spain Football

Referee Alejandro MuG±iz Ruiz

Athletic Club

2 : 1

Finished

Real Betis

Athletic Club take on Real Betis on March 22, 2026 in the La Liga, Spain.

Recent form (W-D-L): Athletic Club 2-1-2, Real Betis 1-3-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Athletic Club the favourite at about 44%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 45% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Athletic Club — 45%

1 · Athletic Club45.1%

X · draw26.7%

2 · Real Betis28.2%

Model estimate: win Athletic Club 45.1%, draw 26.7%, win Real Betis 28.2%. Model favourite — Athletic Club.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Real Betis March 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Strongest: Athletic Club - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.14 / X 3.43 / 2 3.41
1X2 market: Athletic Club 44.4% / X 27.7% / Real Betis 27.9%
Glicko: Athletic Club 45.1% / X 26.7% / Real Betis 28.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 49.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9% 14 books · best price +2.8%

1 44.5%

X 27.7%

2 27.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%

Over 2.5 50.0%

Under 2.5 50.0%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, BetVictor). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 4/4

Confidence 45.0%

Total Under 2.5

Score 1:0

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Start 22.03.2026 17:30 UTC

Market 1 44.4% @ 2.14 / X 27.7% @ 3.43 / 2 27.9% @ 3.41

Referee Alejandro MuG±iz Ruiz

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Athletic Club 45%

💹 Market Athletic Club 4438%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Athletic Club - Real Betis

Athletic Club: win 2.13 Athletic Club: draw 3.56 Real Betis win: 3.59 Obschiy Total goals Over 2.5: 1.94 Obschiy Total goals Under 2.5: 1.96 Individualnyy Total goals Athletic Club Over 1.5: 2.12 Individualnyy Total goals Athletic Club Under 1.5: 1.76 Individualnyy t…

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:1

Events 16

Statistics 24

Lineups 46

min Event Player Team

25' 25' Normal Goal | Dani Vivian | assist/sub out: I. Williams Athletic Club

45' 45' Normal Goal | Oihan Sancet | assist/sub out: I. Williams Athletic Club

46' 46' Substitution 1 | Antony | assist/sub out: Pablo Fornals G. Aguilar Real Betis

46' 46' Substitution 2 | Ángel Ortiz | assist/sub out: Héctor Bellerín Real Betis

46' 46' Substitution 3 | Marc Roca | assist/sub out: Sergi Altimira Real Betis

62' 62' Substitution 1 | Gorka Guruzeta | assist/sub out: Mikel Jauregizar Athletic Club

62' 62' Substitution 2 | Ruíz de Galarreta | assist/sub out: Mikel Vesga Athletic Club

62' 62' Substitution 4 | C. Hernández | assist/sub out: C. Bakambu Real Betis

Metric Athletic Club Real Betis SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.26 0.47 final

Zablokirovannye udary 2 2 final

Shots off target 3 6 final

Shots on target 6 3 final

Udary vsego 11 11 final

Fouls soversheno 10 6 final

Zheltye kartochki 1 1 final

Offsides 3 2 final

Athletic Club #1 U. Simon, #3 Dani Vivian, #7 Álex Berenguer, #8 Oihan Sancet, #9 I. Williams, #11 Gorka Guruzeta, #14 A. Laporte, #15 Lekue, #16 Ruíz de Galarreta, #17 Yuri, #30 Alejandro Rego

Real Betis #3 Diego Llorente, #4 Natan, #7 Antony, #10 A. Ezzalzouli, #14 S. Amrabat, #16 V. Gómez, #19 C. Hernandez, #21 Marc Roca, #24 Aitor Ruibal, #25 Pau López, #40 Ángel Ortiz

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Boiro Athletic Club Seyvy 0

A. Laporte Athletic Club football.player.assists 0

A. Laporte Athletic Club Dribling popytki 5

A. Laporte Athletic Club Edinoborstva vyigrano 7

A. Laporte Athletic Club Fouls soversheno 1

A. Laporte Athletic Club Seyvy 0

A. Laporte Athletic Club football.player.minutes_played 90

A. Laporte Athletic Club Klyuchevye pasy 34

A. Laporte Athletic Club Reyting (staryy) 7

A. Laporte Athletic Club Shots on target 1

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Athletic Club 44.8% 45.1% market and model agree

Draw 27.4% 26.7% draw risk

Real Betis 27.8% 28.2%

xG - 1.41 : 1.05

Total 2.5 Over 49.1% - Under 50.9%

Model check - - Difference 0.01

Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.01

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 45.1% / 26.7% / 28.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,485 / 1,570 Athletic Club / Real Betis

RD 75 / 75 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.43 market consensus · no value · model 28.2%

X 3.45 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.14 market consensus · no value · model 45.1%

Double chance

X2 1.71 market consensus · no value · model 54.9%

12 1.30 market consensus · no value · model 73.3%

1X 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 71.8%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.33 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.27 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.33 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · no value · model 49.1%

Under 2.5 1.91 market consensus · no value · model 50.9%

Both teams to score

No 2.06 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.05 48.8%
X	3.66 27.3%
	3.65 27.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.12 47.2%	2.13 47.0%	2.20 45.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.18 45.9%
X	3.40 29.4%	3.45 29.0%	3.59 27.9%	3.30 30.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.40 29.4%
	3.30 30.3%	3.55 28.2%	3.53 28.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet
no	2.05 48.8%	2.13 47.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.07 48.3%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.03 49.3%
yes	1.73 57.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.67 59.9%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.72 58.1%	1.67 59.9%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.30 76.9%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%

Match center

Athletic Club

Founded 1898

Real Betis

Founded 1907

Match center

Athletic Club

Y Yeray Doping

BP BeG±at Prados Knee Injury

Real Betis

I Isco Ankle Injury

GL G. Lo Celso Muscle Injury

Athletic Club Founded: 1898

Real Betis Founded: 1907

Match center

Athletic Club

L L D W W

14.03 13:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 0:3 Girona

07.03 20:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 0:1 Barselona

28.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 1:1 Rayo Vallecano

20.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 2:1 Elche

15.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 2:1 Oviedo

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

Real Betis

D L D D W

15.03 17:30 UTC La Liga

Real Betis 1:1 Selta

08.03 15:15 UTC La Liga

Real Betis 0:2 Getafe

01.03 17:30 UTC La Liga

Real Betis 2:2 Sevilla

21.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Real Betis 1:1 Rayo Vallecano

15.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Betis 2:1 Mallorca

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAthletic Club - Real Betis

Athletic Club

1 matches total

Real Betis

Athletic Club: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Real Betis: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Athletic Club 2:1 (31.08 17:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 31.08 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

31.08 17:00 UTC

La Liga

Athletic Club

2:1

Real Betis

Match center

Season table: unavailable.

The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.