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La Liga Spain

01.02.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

01.02.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Athletic Club - Real Sociedad

Spain Football

Athletic Club

1 : 1

Finished

Real Sociedad

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Real Sociedad February 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.21 / X 3.06 / 2 3.70
1X2 market: Athletic Club 43.1% / X 31.1% / Real Sociedad 25.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 59.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 43.1%

X 31.1%

2 25.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%

Over 2.5 40.8%

Under 2.5 59.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 01.02.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Athletic Club - Real Sociedad

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.71 market consensus · line only

X 3.06 market consensus · line only

1 2.21 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.68 market consensus · line only

12 1.38 market consensus · line only

1X 1.29 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.69 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.58 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.00 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.34 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.80 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.24 44.6%
X	3.09 32.4%
	3.89 25.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.16 46.3%	2.17 46.1%	2.28 43.9%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%
X	3.05 32.8%	3.10 32.3%	3.18 31.5%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.00 33.3%
	3.60 27.8%	3.85 26.0%	3.82 26.2%	3.50 28.6%	3.75 26.7%	3.75 26.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.77 56.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.84 54.4%
yes	1.93 51.8%	1.96 51.0%	1.96 51.0%	2.00 50.0%	1.95 51.3%	1.93 51.8%	1.95 51.3%	1.96 51.0%	2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.71 58.5%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.41 70.9%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.41 70.9%
home_draw	1.28 78.1%	1.31 76.3%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.31 76.3%

Match center

Athletic Club

L L D L L

24.01 17:30 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 1:2 Sevilla

17.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 2:3 Mallorca

03.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 1:1 Osasuna

22.12 20:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 1:2 Espanyol

14.12 15:15 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 0:2 Selta

0 Wins

1 Draws

4 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

1 Points

Real Sociedad

W W W D D

25.01 17:30 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 3:1 Selta

18.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 2:1 Barselona

09.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 2:1 Getafe

04.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:1 Atletiko Madrid

20.12 15:15 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:1 Levante

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

11 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAthletic Club - Real Sociedad

Athletic Club

2 matches total

Real Sociedad

Athletic Club: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Real Sociedad: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Real Sociedad 2:3 (01.11 17:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 01.11 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (04.05 19:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

01.11 17:30 UTC

La Liga

Athletic Club

2:3

Real Sociedad

04.05 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Athletic Club

0:0

Real Sociedad