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La Liga Spain

25.01.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction

25.01.2026 13:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Atletico Madrid - Mallorca

Spain Football

Atletico Madrid

3 : 0

Finished

Mallorca

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Madrid - Mallorca January 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.34 / X 5.17 / 2 9.21
1X2 market: Atletico Madrid 71.1% / X 18.5% / Mallorca 10.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 54.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 71.2%

X 18.5%

2 10.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%

Over 2.5 54.9%

Under 2.5 45.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 25.01.2026 13:00 UTC

Match center

Atletico Madrid - Mallorca

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 9.26 market consensus · line only

X 5.17 market consensus · line only

1 1.34 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 3.29 market consensus · line only

12 1.17 market consensus · line only

1X 1.07 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 3.25 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.53 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 7.15 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.70 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.36 73.5%
X	5.25 19.1%
	10.00 10.0%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.35 74.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.38 72.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.36 73.5%
X	5.00 20.0%	5.30 18.9%	5.33 18.8%	5.00 20.0%	5.25 19.1%	5.30 18.9%
	8.60 11.6%	9.80 10.2%	9.55 10.5%	8.00 12.5%	9.00 11.1%	9.75 10.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.73 57.8%	1.69 59.2%	1.68 59.5%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.73 57.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%
yes	2.05 48.8%	2.19 45.7%	2.08 48.1%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.12 47.2%	2.05 48.8%	2.08 48.1%	2.24 44.6%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	3.10 32.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.30 30.3%	3.32 30.1%
home_away	1.12 89.3%	1.19 84.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.17 85.5%	1.16 86.2%	1.18 84.8%
home_draw	1.06 94.3%	1.07 93.5%	1.08 92.6%	1.07 93.5%	1.09 91.7%	1.08 92.6%

Match center

Atletico Madrid

W D W W L

18.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 1:0 Alaves

04.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 1:1 Real Sociedad

21.12 13:00 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 3:0 Girona

13.12 13:00 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 2:1 Valencia

06.12 20:00 UTC La Liga

Atletico Madrid 0:1 Athletic Club

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

0.6 Conceded

10 Points

Mallorca

W L L D W

17.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 3:2 Athletic Club

11.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 1:2 Rayo Vallecano

04.01 17:30 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 1:2 Girona

19.12 20:00 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 1:1 Valencia

13.12 15:15 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 3:1 Elche

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.6 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtletico Madrid - Mallorca

Atletico Madrid

1 matches total

Mallorca

Atletico Madrid: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Mallorca: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 21.09 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (21.09 14:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

21.09 14:15 UTC

La Liga

Atletiko Madrid

1:1

Mallorca