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La Liga
La Liga Spain
18.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Atletico Madrid - Real Betis

Spain Football
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
4 : 1
Finished
Real Betis
Real Betis

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Madrid - Real Betis May 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.59 / X 4.38 / 2 5.79
  • 1X2 market: Atletico Madrid 61.1% / X 22.2% / Real Betis 16.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 61.1%
X 22.2%
2 16.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 57.7%
Under 2.5 42.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Atletico Madrid - Real Betis

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.79 market consensus · line only
X 4.38 market consensus · line only
1 1.59 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.47 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.17 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.59 62.9%
X 4.38 22.8%
5.79 17.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.47 40.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.68 59.5%
Under 2.5 2.29 43.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.24 80.7%
4.47 22.4%
Match center
Atletico Madrid
L W D W L
15.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 0:2 OsasunaOsasuna
10.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 4:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
03.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 0:0 AlavesAlaves
24.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 3:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
19.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 0:1 Las PalmasLas Palmas
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
7 Points
Real Betis
D D W W W
15.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 2:2 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
11.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:1 OsasunaOsasuna
04.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 2:1 EspanyolEspanyol
24.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 5:1 Valladolid
21.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 3:1 GironaGirona
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtletico Madrid - Real Betis

Atletico Madrid
1 matches total
Real Betis
Atletico Madrid: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Real Betis: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Real Betis 0:1 (27.10 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 27.10 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

27.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Atletiko Madrid
0:1
Real Betis