La Liga
Atletico Madrid - Villarreal
Atletico Madrid take on Villarreal on September 13, 2025 in the La Liga, Spain.
Recent form (W-D-L): Atletico Madrid 2-2-1, Villarreal 4-1-0. The market favourite is Atletico Madrid at roughly 54%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Atletico Madrid - Villarreal September 13, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 3.76 / 2 4.62
- 1X2 market: Atletico Madrid 53.9% / X 25.4% / Villarreal 20.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Atletico Madrid - Villarreal
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.78 56.2% | |
| X | 3.84 26.0% |
| 4.86 20.6% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.73 57.8% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.83 54.6% | |
| X | 3.80 26.3% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.86 25.9% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% |
| 4.55 22.0% | 4.85 20.6% | 4.81 20.8% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.55 22.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Dafabet | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.21 45.3% | 2.11 47.4% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.65 60.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.87 53.5% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.28 78.1% |
| home_draw | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.24 80.7% |
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Elche
Espanyol
Girona
Real Betis
Villarreal
Selta
Girona
Oviedo
Sevilla
Barselona
Full head-to-head historyAtletico Madrid - Villarreal
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form