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La Liga
La Liga Spain
02.11.2025 17:30 UTC Match prediction
02.11.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Barcelona - Elche

Spain Football
Barcelona
Barcelona
3 : 1
Finished
Elche
Elche

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barcelona - Elche November 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.20 / X 7.41 / 2 13.10
  • 1X2 market: Barcelona 79.7% / X 13.0% / Elche 7.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 69.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 79.8%
X 12.9%
2 7.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 69.4%
Under 2.5 30.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.11.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Barcelona - Elche

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.45 market consensus · line only
1 1.20 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.72 market consensus · line only
12 1.11 market consensus · line only
1X 1.05 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 4.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.68 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.08 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.93 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.19 84.0%
X 7.73 12.9%
14.02 7.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
1.19 84.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.19 84.0% 1.19 84.0%
X 7.70 13.0% 7.39 13.5% 7.50 13.3% 7.30 13.7% 7.73 12.9% 7.73 12.9%
14.00 7.1% 12.90 7.8% 13.00 7.7% 12.75 7.8% 14.02 7.1% 14.02 7.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet William Hill
no 1.98 50.5% 1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 4.48 22.3% 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2% 5.22 19.2% 5.22 19.2% 4.40 22.7%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Barcelona
L W L W W
26.10 15:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
18.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:1 GironaGirona
05.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:4 SevillaSevilla
28.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
25.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:1 OviedoOviedo
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
9 Points
Elche
L D L W D
25.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Elche 0:1 EspanyolEspanyol
19.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 0:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
05.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:3 AlavesAlaves
28.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:1 SeltaSelta
25.09 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:1 OsasunaOsasuna
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarcelona - Elche

Barcelona
0 matches total
Elche
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history