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La Liga
La Liga Spain
25.01.2026 15:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Barcelona - Oviedo

Spain Football
Barcelona
Barcelona
3 : 0
Finished
Oviedo
Oviedo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barcelona - Oviedo January 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.13 / X 9.67 / 2 17.45
  • 1X2 market: Barcelona 84.4% / X 9.9% / Oviedo 5.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 76.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 84.6%
X 9.9%
2 5.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 76.0%
Under 2.5 24.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.01.2026 15:15 UTC
Match center

Barcelona - Oviedo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.13 market consensus · line only
X 9.17 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 6.24 market consensus · line only
12 1.06 market consensus · line only
1X 1.03 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 6.12 market consensus · line only
2 -1 4.78 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.11 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.93 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.13 88.5%
X 10.60 9.4%
19.69 5.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.16 86.2%
X 8.60 11.6% 9.60 10.4% 10.90 9.2% 9.00 11.1% 10.00 10.0% 8.25 12.1%
15.50 6.5% 16.00 6.3% 21.00 4.8% 15.00 6.7% 19.00 5.3% 26.00 3.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.75 57.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 5.50 18.2% 6.94 14.4% 5.50 18.2% 6.50 15.4% 5.90 17.0% 5.30 18.9%
home_away 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.09 91.7% 1.06 94.3%
home_draw 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Barcelona
L W W W W
18.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
03.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:0 EspanyolEspanyol
21.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:0 VillarrealVillarreal
13.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:0 OsasunaOsasuna
06.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 5:3 Real BetisReal Betis
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points
Oviedo
L D D D L
17.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 2:3 OsasunaOsasuna
10.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
04.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 1:1 AlavesAlaves
20.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:0 SeltaSelta
14.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:4 SevillaSevilla
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarcelona - Oviedo

Barcelona
1 matches total
Oviedo
Barcelona: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Oviedo: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Barselona 3:1 (25.09 19:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 25.09 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

25.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Barselona
3:1
Oviedo