Match center
Start
28.09.2025 16:30 UTC
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28.09.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Barcelona - Real Sociedad
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Barcelona - Real Sociedad September 28, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.
Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / X 5.31 / 2 8.23
- 1X2 market: Barcelona 70.4% / X 18.0% / Real Sociedad 11.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 68.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.1%
1
70.5%
X
17.9%
2
11.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5
68.0%
Under 2.5
32.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Barcelona - Real Sociedad
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.26
market consensus · line only
X
5.31
market consensus · line only
1
1.36
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.19
market consensus · line only
12
1.17
market consensus · line only
1X
1.08
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.35
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.60
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
6.85
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.32
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.39
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.95
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.22
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.63
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.37 73.0% | |
| X | 5.24 19.1% |
| 8.62 11.6% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.35 74.1% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.30 76.9% | |
| X | 5.40 18.5% | 5.70 17.5% | 5.07 19.7% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.60 17.9% | 5.50 18.2% |
| 7.60 13.2% | 7.80 12.8% | 9.00 11.1% | 8.50 11.8% | 7.50 13.3% | 8.50 11.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.20 45.5% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.16 46.3% | 2.28 43.9% | 2.17 46.1% |
| yes | 1.60 62.5% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.66 60.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.10 32.3% | 3.14 31.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.18 31.5% | 3.33 30.0% |
| home_away | 1.11 90.1% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% |
| home_draw | 1.08 92.6% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.09 91.7% |
Match center
Barcelona
W
W
W
D
W
25.09 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
3:1
Oviedo
Oviedo
21.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
3:0
Getafe
Getafe
14.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
6:0
Valencia
Valencia
31.08 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
1:1
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
23.08 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
3:2
Levante
Levante
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
3.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
13
Points
Real Sociedad
W
L
L
L
D
24.09 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
1:0
Mallorca
Mallorca
19.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
1:3
Real Betis
Real Betis
13.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
1:2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
30.08 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
0:1
Oviedo
Oviedo
24.08 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
2:2
Espanyol
Espanyol
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.6
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBarcelona - Real Sociedad
Barcelona
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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