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La Liga
La Liga Spain
12.04.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction
12.04.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Celta Vigo - Espanyol

Spain Football
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
0 : 2
Finished
Espanyol
Espanyol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Espanyol April 12, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.

Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.64 / X 3.85 / 2 5.92
  • 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 58.7% / X 25.0% / Espanyol 16.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 58.7%
X 25.0%
2 16.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 46.0%
Under 2.5 54.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.04.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Celta Vigo - Espanyol

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.92 market consensus · line only
X 3.85 market consensus · line only
1 1.64 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.36 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.64 61.0%
X 3.85 26.0%
5.92 16.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.36 42.4%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.16 86.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 2.5 1.79 55.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.23 81.3%
4.44 22.5%
Match center
Celta Vigo
W L L W D
05.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
27.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 0:3 Leganes
19.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:0 Las PalmasLas Palmas
29.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:1 GironaGirona
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Espanyol
W L L W L
04.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 4:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
25.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 SevillaSevilla
19.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:4 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
05.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
29.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:1 Real BetisReal Betis
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Espanyol

Celta Vigo
0 matches total
Espanyol
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history