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La Liga Spain

30.11.2025 17:30 UTC Match prediction

30.11.2025 17:30 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Celta Vigo - Espanyol

Spain Football

Celta Vigo

0 : 1

Finished

Espanyol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Espanyol November 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.

Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.07 / X 3.38 / 2 3.66
1X2 market: Celta Vigo 45.9% / X 28.1% / Espanyol 26.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 45.9%

X 28.1%

2 26.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%

Over 2.5 50.9%

Under 2.5 49.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 30.11.2025 17:30 UTC

Match center

Celta Vigo - Espanyol

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.68 market consensus · line only

X 3.37 market consensus · line only

1 2.07 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.77 market consensus · line only

12 1.32 market consensus · line only

1X 1.29 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.40 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.53 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.10 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.09 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.12 47.2%
X	3.30 30.3%
	3.85 26.0%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.12 47.2%	2.10 47.6%	2.07 48.3%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%
X	3.45 29.0%	3.40 29.4%	3.52 28.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%
	3.35 29.9%	3.65 27.4%	4.01 24.9%	3.40 29.4%	3.60 27.8%	3.70 27.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.10 47.6%	2.19 45.7%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.20 45.5%	2.12 47.2%	2.05 48.8%	2.02 49.5%	2.22 45.1%
yes	1.65 60.6%	1.68 59.5%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.73 57.8%	1.71 58.5%	1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.70 58.8%	1.84 54.4%	1.73 57.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.80 55.6%	1.86 53.8%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.31 76.3%	1.35 74.1%
home_draw	1.30 76.9%	1.29 77.5%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%

Match center

Celta Vigo

W L W W D

22.11 13:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:0 Alaves

09.11 20:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 2:4 Barselona

02.11 13:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 2:1 Levante

26.10 17:30 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 3:2 Osasuna

19.10 14:15 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:1 Real Sociedad

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.6 Conceded

10 Points

Espanyol

W L L W W

24.11 20:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 2:1 Sevilla

08.11 20:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 0:2 Villarreal

02.11 15:15 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 1:2 Alaves

25.10 14:15 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 1:0 Elche

17.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 2:0 Oviedo

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Espanyol

Celta Vigo

1 matches total

Espanyol

Celta Vigo: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Espanyol: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Espanyol 0:2 (12.04 16:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 12.04 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

12.04 16:30 UTC

La Liga

Selta

0:2

Espanyol