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La Liga Spain

22.02.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction

22.02.2026 17:30 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Celta Vigo - Mallorca

Spain Football

Celta Vigo

2 : 0

Finished

Mallorca

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Mallorca February 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.

Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 3.47 / 2 4.51
1X2 market: Celta Vigo 51.4% / X 27.5% / Mallorca 21.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 51.5%

X 27.4%

2 21.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%

Over 2.5 44.4%

Under 2.5 55.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 22.02.2026 17:30 UTC

Match center

Celta Vigo - Mallorca

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.52 market consensus · line only

X 3.48 market consensus · line only

1 1.86 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.96 market consensus · line only

12 1.30 market consensus · line only

1X 1.21 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.01 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.52 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.29 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.90 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.82 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.88 53.2%
X	3.55 28.2%
	4.66 21.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.84 54.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%	1.88 53.2%
X	3.45 29.0%	3.55 28.2%	3.60 27.8%	3.30 30.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.60 27.8%
	4.20 23.8%	4.60 21.7%	4.72 21.2%	4.33 23.1%	4.50 22.2%	4.70 21.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.80 55.6%	1.86 53.8%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.78 56.2%	1.87 53.5%
yes	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.93 51.8%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.93 51.8%	2.01 49.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.91 52.4%	2.00 50.0%	1.91 52.4%	1.91 52.4%	2.00 50.0%	1.91 52.4%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.34 74.6%	1.33 75.2%	1.28 78.1%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.20 83.3%	1.23 81.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.23 81.3%	1.17 85.5%

Match center

Celta Vigo

D L D L W

14.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 2:2 Espanyol

06.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:2 Osasuna

01.02 17:30 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 0:0 Getafe

25.01 17:30 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:3 Real Sociedad

18.01 17:30 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 3:0 Rayo Vallecano

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

5 Points

Mallorca

L L W L W

15.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 1:2 Real Betis

07.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 0:3 Barselona

02.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 4:1 Sevilla

25.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 0:3 Atletiko Madrid

17.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 3:2 Athletic Club

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.6 Scored

2.2 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Mallorca

Celta Vigo

2 matches total

Mallorca

Celta Vigo: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Mallorca: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Selta 2:1 (05.04 16:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 05.04 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (23.08 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.08 15:00 UTC

La Liga

Selta

1:1

Mallorca

05.04 16:30 UTC

La Liga

Selta

2:1

Mallorca