PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
La Liga
La Liga Spain
18.05.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
18.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Celta Vigo - Rayo Vallecano

Spain Football
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
1 : 2
Finished
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Rayo Vallecano May 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.

Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.79 / X 3.81 / 2 4.78
  • 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 54.2% / X 25.5% / Rayo Vallecano 20.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 54.2%
X 25.5%
2 20.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.5%
Over 2.5 51.9%
Under 2.5 48.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 18.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Celta Vigo - Rayo Vallecano

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.78 market consensus · line only
X 3.81 market consensus · line only
1 1.79 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.12 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.79 55.9%
X 3.81 26.3%
4.78 20.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.12 47.2%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 2.5 2.03 49.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.32 75.8%
3.58 27.9%
Match center
Celta Vigo
W W L W L
13.05 18:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
10.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 3:2 SevillaSevilla
04.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
23.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 3:0 VillarrealVillarreal
19.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 3:4 BarselonaBarselona
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
9 Points
Rayo Vallecano
D W W L D
15.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 2:2 Real BetisReal Betis
09.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:0 Las PalmasLas Palmas
02.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:0 GetafeGetafe
24.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
19.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 ValenciaValencia
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points