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La Liga Spain

18.01.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction

18.01.2026 17:30 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Celta Vigo - Rayo Vallecano

Spain Football

Celta Vigo

3 : 0

Finished

Rayo Vallecano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Rayo Vallecano January 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.

Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 3.39 / 2 4.48
1X2 market: Celta Vigo 50.6% / X 28.1% / Rayo Vallecano 21.3%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 50.7%

X 28.1%

2 21.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%

Over 2.5 44.8%

Under 2.5 55.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 18.01.2026 17:30 UTC

Match center

Celta Vigo - Rayo Vallecano

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.50 market consensus · line only

X 3.40 market consensus · line only

1 1.88 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.94 market consensus · line only

12 1.32 market consensus · line only

1X 1.21 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.98 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.49 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.20 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.80 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.85 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.89 52.9%
X	3.48 28.7%
	4.70 21.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%	1.94 51.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%	1.87 53.5%
X	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.53 28.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%
	4.45 22.5%	4.50 22.2%	4.62 21.7%	4.20 23.8%	4.50 22.2%	4.55 22.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.83 54.6%	1.88 53.2%	1.83 54.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.87 53.5%	1.81 55.3%	1.91 52.4%
yes	1.91 52.4%	1.93 51.8%	1.89 52.9%	1.85 54.1%	1.95 51.3%	1.87 53.5%	1.87 53.5%	1.89 52.9%	1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.91 52.4%	1.96 51.0%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.98 50.5%	1.98 50.5%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.35 74.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.35 74.1%
home_draw	1.20 83.3%	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%

Match center

Celta Vigo

W W D W W

12.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:0 Sevilla

03.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 4:1 Valencia

20.12 13:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 0:0 Oviedo

14.12 15:15 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 2:0 Athletic Club

07.12 20:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 2:0 Real Madrid

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

1.8 Scored

0.2 Conceded

13 Points

Rayo Vallecano

W D L D L

11.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 2:1 Mallorca

02.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Getafe

21.12 17:30 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 0:4 Elche

15.12 20:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 0:0 Real Betis

07.12 17:30 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 0:1 Espanyol

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Rayo Vallecano

Celta Vigo

2 matches total

Rayo Vallecano

Celta Vigo: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Rayo Vallecano: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Rayo Vallecano 1:2 (18.05 17:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 18.05 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (21.09 12:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

21.09 12:00 UTC

La Liga

Selta

1:1

Rayo Vallecano

18.05 17:00 UTC

La Liga

Selta

1:2

Rayo Vallecano