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La Liga Spain

19.10.2025 14:15 UTC Match prediction

19.10.2025 14:15 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Celta Vigo - Real Sociedad

Spain Football

Celta Vigo

1 : 1

Finished

Real Sociedad

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Real Sociedad October 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.

Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.14 / X 3.44 / 2 3.45
1X2 market: Celta Vigo 44.6% / X 27.7% / Real Sociedad 27.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 44.6%

X 27.7%

2 27.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%

Over 2.5 51.2%

Under 2.5 48.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 19.10.2025 14:15 UTC

Match center

Celta Vigo - Real Sociedad

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.45 market consensus · line only

X 3.44 market consensus · line only

1 2.14 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.73 market consensus · line only

12 1.32 market consensus · line only

1X 1.32 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.36 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.37 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.30 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.12 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.18 45.9%
X	3.50 28.6%
	3.54 28.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.12 47.2%	2.13 47.0%	2.19 45.7%	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%
X	3.40 29.4%	3.55 28.2%	3.57 28.0%	3.30 30.3%	3.60 27.8%	3.40 29.4%
	3.40 29.4%	3.45 29.0%	3.57 28.0%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.45 29.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.10 47.6%	2.21 45.3%	2.12 47.2%	2.10 47.6%	2.05 48.8%	2.15 46.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.09 47.9%	2.20 45.5%
yes	1.65 60.6%	1.68 59.5%	1.66 60.2%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.65 60.6%	1.67 59.9%	1.66 60.2%	1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.76 56.8%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.34 74.6%	1.33 75.2%	1.28 78.1%	1.31 76.3%	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.30 76.9%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%

Match center

Celta Vigo

D L D D D

05.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:1 Atletiko Madrid

28.09 14:15 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:2 Elche

21.09 12:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:1 Rayo Vallecano

14.09 12:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:1 Girona

31.08 15:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:1 Villarreal

0 Wins

4 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

4 Points

Real Sociedad

L L W L L

05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 0:1 Rayo Vallecano

28.09 16:30 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:2 Barselona

24.09 19:30 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:0 Mallorca

19.09 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:3 Real Betis

13.09 14:15 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:2 Real Madrid

1 Wins

0 Draws

4 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.6 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Real Sociedad

Celta Vigo

1 matches total

Real Sociedad

Celta Vigo: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Real Sociedad: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Selta 1:0 (13.05 18:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 13.05 18:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

13.05 18:00 UTC

La Liga

Selta

1:0

Real Sociedad